FNUS71 KAKQ 041253 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR COLES CREEK SOUTH...USFWS BLACKWATER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 753 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST TODAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT THEN MOVES OFF THE COAST SUNDAY... BRINGING RAIN TO THE AREA. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY EARLY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY BY THE AFTERNOON (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1 PM. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. ADI.................10...INCREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 4 LATE. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1300-12500 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............57 62 68 73 78 83 86 89 92 94 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 43 46 48 49 50 50 50 49 48 RH..................75 62 55 53 50 50 52 52 56 60 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.4 20 FT WIND DIR......S SE SE S S SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S SE E NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 9 10 9 8 7 6 5 5 6 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 4 6 9 11 13 10 8 8 7 LVORI...............4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 ADI.................8 11 14 15 14 12 10 9 8 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. ADI.................8...INCREASING TO 37. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1800-4900 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................46 44 43 43 42 42 42 41 41 41 41 41 RH..................68 76 82 85 89 89 92 92 92 92 92 92 CHC OF PCPN (%).....90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......W NW NW N N N N N N NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 5 6 6 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 8 9 9 10 12 14 15 16 17 18 18 VRATE KT-FT/1000....5 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 LVORI...............3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 ADI.................4 7 8 8 9 11 15 17 18 20 25 37 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN AND DRIZZLE LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. ADI.................44...INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 49 LATE...DECREASING TO 19 LATE. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 21 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (4300-28000 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............98 98 98 98 98 97 97 97 92 87 81 76 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 40 41 41 42 43 44 45 45 45 44 43 RH..................92 92 92 92 89 89 86 86 79 76 76 76 CHC OF PCPN (%).....60 60 60 60 60 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.1 20 FT WIND DIR......NE N N NE NE NE N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....20 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 20 17 15 15 VRATE KT-FT/1000....4 4 9 15 21 23 26 28 27 23 20 15 LVORI...............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 ADI.................39 40 43 45 48 54 59 62 57 51 46 19 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 FORECASTER...RUSNAK REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120204.COLES.01/AKQ