FNUS75 KBOU 041425 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEIL RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 712 AM MST SAT FEB 4 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT TO THE EAST. OVER OUR AREA...A WEAK NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA TODAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH PARTIAL CLEARING EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN VERY WEAK ON SUNDAY SO SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-30. MIN HUMIDITY........59-64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN EAST/SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....6-8. MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 0-4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-35. MIN HUMIDITY........41-44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEIL RANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/04-07 73 36 14 20 77 N 6 6 2 1 E 8 2504 N 9 18417 P 02/04-08 73 36 14 21 73 N 5 5 2 1 E 7 2820 N 7 17919 P 02/04-09 73 36 14 23 68 N 3 3 2 1 E 8 3207 N 6 16437 P 02/04-10 73 36 14 24 65 N 2 2 2 1 E 8 3593 N 5 14955 P 02/04-11 68 20 4 26 61 CALM 1 2 1 E 9 3980 N 3 13473 P 02/04-12 68 20 4 27 60 CALM 1 2 1 E 8 3951 N 5 13950 P 02/04-13 68 20 4 27 59 NW 2 2 2 1 E 7 3922 N 5 14428 P 02/04-14 68 20 4 27 60 W 3 3 2 1 E 6 3893 N 5 14905 P 02/04-15 68 20 4 27 61 NW 2 2 2 1 NE 5 3334 N 5 13691 P 02/04-16 68 20 4 26 65 N 2 2 2 1 N 5 2775 N 6 12477 P 02/04-17 42 0 0 22 78 CALM 1 2 1 N 6 2216 N 6 11263 P 02/04-18 42 0 0 19 82 N 2 2 2 1 N 7 1562 N 5 7711 P 02/04-19 42 0 0 18 84 N 2 2 2 1 N 8 909 N 3 4159 P 02/04-20 42 0 0 16 85 N 3 3 2 1 N10 255 NW 2 607 P 02/04-21 42 0 0 14 85 N 3 3 2 1 NE12 240 NW 2 482 P 02/04-22 42 0 0 13 85 NW 2 2 2 1 E13 225 W 2 357 P 02/04-23 33 0 0 12 84 CALM 1 2 1 E15 210 CALM 232 P 02/05-00 33 0 0 11 83 CALM 1 2 1 E20 202 CALM 234 P 02/05-01 33 0 0 10 81 CALM 1 2 1 E23 195 CALM 237 P 02/05-02 33 0 0 10 80 CALM 1 2 1 E26 187 CALM 239 P 02/05-03 33 0 0 9 79 CALM 1 2 1 E25 174 W 2 358 P 02/05-04 33 0 0 9 80 W 2 2 2 1 E24 161 W 3 476 P 02/05-05 22 0 0 9 81 NW 2 2 2 1 E23 148 W 5 595 P 02/05-06 22 0 0 9 85 NW 2 2 2 1 E24 155 W 5 683 P 02/05-07 22 0 0 11 84 CALM 1 2 1 E24 162 W 6 771 P 02/05-08 22 0 0 14 78 CALM 1 2 1 E25 170 W 6 859 P 02/05-09 22 0 0 19 70 CALM 1 2 1 E26 838 W 5 2760 P 02/05-10 22 0 0 22 64 CALM 1 3 1 E26 1506 N 5 4661 P 02/05-11 23 0 0 26 57 CALM 1 3 1 E26 2175 N 3 6563 P 02/05-12 23 0 0 29 51 CALM 1 3 1 E26 2818 N 3 9845 P 02/05-13 23 0 0 31 46 CALM 1 3 1 E25 3461 N 5 13126 P 02/05-14 23 0 0 32 44 CALM 1 3 1 E23 4105 N 5 16408 P 02/05-15 23 0 0 31 45 CALM 1 3 1 E23 3431 N 5 13638 P 02/05-16 23 0 0 30 49 N 2 2 2 1 E22 2757 N 5 10867 P 02/05-17 22 0 0 27 56 N 2 2 2 1 E22 2083 N 5 8096 P 02/05-18 22 0 0 25 61 N 2 2 2 1 E22 1480 N 5 5756 P 02/05-19 22 0 0 23 65 N 3 3 2 1 E23 877 NW 5 3416 P 02/05-20 22 0 0 21 67 N 3 3 2 1 E24 273 W 5 1077 P 02/05-21 22 0 0 19 68 N 2 2 2 1 E25 233 W 5 982 P 02/05-22 22 0 0 18 67 NW 2 2 2 1 E28 193 W 6 887 P 02/05-23 22 0 0 17 66 CALM 1 2 1 E29 153 W 6 791 P 02/06-00 22 0 0 16 69 CALM 1 2 1 E28 145 W 7 815 P 02/06-01 22 0 0 15 72 CALM 1 2 1 E26 138 W 7 839 P 02/06-02 22 0 0 14 75 CALM 1 2 1 E24 130 W 8 863 P 02/06-03 22 0 0 14 76 NW 2 2 2 1 E22 129 W 8 877 P 02/06-04 22 0 0 14 75 N 2 2 2 1 SE18 128 W 8 891 P 02/06-05 19 0 0 14 75 N 3 3 2 1 SE16 127 W 8 904 P 02/06-06 19 0 0 14 77 N 5 5 2 1 SE15 150 W 8 990 P 02/06-07 19 0 0 15 77 N 5 5 2 1 SE14 172 W 7 1076 P 02/06-08 19 0 0 18 73 N 5 5 2 1 SE13 195 NW 7 1162 P 02/06-09 19 0 0 22 70 N 5 5 2 1 SE12 974 NW 6 4140 P 02/06-10 19 0 0 25 70 N 3 3 2 1 SE12 1753 NW 6 7118 P 02/06-11 47 0 0 29 67 N 3 3 2 1 SE12 2532 N 5 10096 P 02/06-12 47 0 0 31 61 N 3 3 2 1 SE10 3303 N 5 14404 P 02/06-13 47 0 0 33 55 N 3 3 2 1 S 9 4075 N 5 18711 P 02/06-14 47 0 0 34 50 N 5 5 2 1 S 8 4846 N 6 23019 P 02/06-15 47 0 0 33 48 N 6 6 2 1 SW 7 4732 N 7 28313 P 02/06-16 47 0 0 32 48 N 6 6 2 1 W 7 4618 N 8 33607 P 02/06-17 60 20 4 29 50 N 7 7 2 1 W 7 4504 N10 38900 P 02/06-18 60 20 4 27 50 N 7 7 2 1 W 8 3639 N 9 30527 P 02/06-19 60 20 4 25 51 N 8 8 2 1 NW 9 2773 N 9 22153 P 02/06-20 60 20 4 24 52 N 8 8 2 1 NW 9 1907 N 8 13779 P 02/06-21 60 20 4 22 55 N 8 8 2 1 NW10 1381 N 8 9962 P 02/06-22 60 20 4 21 59 N 9 9 2 1 W12 854 N 8 6145 P 02/06-23 58 10 2 20 62 N 9 9 2 1 W12 328 N 8 2327 P 02/07-00 58 10 2 19 65 N10 10 2 1 W13 663 N 9 6180 P 02/07-01 58 10 2 18 66 N12 18 2 1 W14 998 N10 10032 P 02/07-02 58 10 2 18 69 N12 18 2 1 W14 1334 N12 13884 P 02/07-03 58 10 2 17 74 N 8 8 2 1 W14 1510 N 9 10491 P 02/07-04 58 10 2 17 79 NE 5 5 2 1 W13 1687 N 6 7099 P 02/07-05 35 6 1 17 82 CALM 1 2 1 NW12 1864 N 2 3706 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MATT HISE- FIRE OPERATIONS SPECIALIST REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120204.HEILR.01/BOU