FNUS75 KBOU 041448 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 743 AM MST SAT FEB 4 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT TO THE EAST. OVER OUR AREA...A WEAK NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH PARTIAL CLEARING EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN VERY WEAK THROUGH THE WEEKEND SO SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-24. MIN HUMIDITY........63-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 3-5 MPH UNTIL 0900... THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....3-5. MAX HUMIDITY........85-87%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0-4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-29. MIN HUMIDITY........47-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RENOLDSRANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/04-07 71 41 18 14 80 CALM 0 2 1 E 6 2913 N 7 16638 P 02/04-08 71 41 18 15 75 CALM 0 2 1 E 6 3246 NE 7 18131 P 02/04-09 71 41 18 17 71 CALM 1 2 1 E 8 3788 NE 6 16196 P 02/04-10 71 41 18 18 68 E 3 3 2 1 E12 4330 NE 5 14262 P 02/04-11 74 20 4 20 65 E 5 5 2 1 E14 4872 NE 3 12328 P 02/04-12 74 20 4 21 63 E 5 5 2 1 E13 4911 N 2 11442 P 02/04-13 74 20 4 22 63 E 5 5 2 1 E12 4951 N 2 10557 P 02/04-14 74 20 4 22 64 E 3 3 2 1 E10 4991 N 2 9671 P 02/04-15 74 20 4 22 66 E 3 3 2 1 E 8 4216 N 3 10978 P 02/04-16 74 20 4 21 70 E 3 3 2 1 E 6 3440 N 5 12285 P 02/04-17 46 3 1 17 81 E 3 3 2 1 E 5 2665 N 6 13593 P 02/04-18 46 3 1 15 84 SE 2 2 2 1 E 5 1886 N 5 9143 P 02/04-19 46 3 1 13 85 S 2 2 2 1 NE 6 1106 N 2 4694 P 02/04-20 46 3 1 11 85 CALM 1 2 1 NE 8 327 CALM 245 P 02/04-21 46 3 1 10 84 CALM 1 2 1 NE10 282 CALM 193 P 02/04-22 46 3 1 8 82 CALM 1 2 1 E13 238 CALM 142 P 02/04-23 38 3 1 7 80 CALM 1 2 1 E16 193 CALM 90 P 02/05-00 38 3 1 6 79 CALM 1 2 1 E21 178 CALM 105 P 02/05-01 38 3 1 6 78 CALM 1 2 1 E26 162 CALM 120 P 02/05-02 38 3 1 5 77 CALM 1 2 1 E30 146 CALM 136 P 02/05-03 38 3 1 5 77 CALM 1 2 1 E31 138 CALM 175 P 02/05-04 38 3 1 4 78 CALM 1 2 1 E32 130 W 2 214 P 02/05-05 22 0 0 5 81 W 2 2 2 1 E32 123 W 2 253 P 02/05-06 22 0 0 5 85 W 3 3 2 1 E33 147 W 3 449 P 02/05-07 22 0 0 6 87 W 5 5 2 1 E35 172 W 5 645 P 02/05-08 22 0 0 10 81 W 6 6 2 1 E37 196 W 5 841 P 02/05-09 22 0 0 14 73 NW 6 6 2 1 E37 1123 NW 6 5992 P 02/05-10 22 0 0 18 67 N 5 5 2 1 E37 2050 N 6 11142 P 02/05-11 23 0 0 21 60 NE 3 3 2 1 E36 2977 N 6 16293 P 02/05-12 23 0 0 24 55 E 5 5 2 1 E35 3729 N 6 18782 P 02/05-13 23 0 0 26 51 E 6 6 2 1 E32 4481 NE 6 21272 P 02/05-14 23 0 0 27 50 E 6 6 2 1 E31 5233 NE 6 23762 P 02/05-15 23 0 0 27 50 E 5 5 2 1 E30 4668 NE 6 22068 P 02/05-16 23 0 0 25 52 E 3 3 2 1 E29 4104 N 6 20375 P 02/05-17 52 0 0 23 56 SE 2 2 2 1 E28 3539 N 6 18681 P 02/05-18 52 0 0 21 62 SE 3 3 2 1 E28 2621 N 6 13319 P 02/05-19 52 0 0 19 67 SW 6 6 2 1 E29 1703 N 5 7957 P 02/05-20 52 0 0 18 70 W 7 7 2 1 E30 785 NW 3 2595 P 02/05-21 52 0 0 16 69 W 8 8 2 1 E31 631 NW 5 2310 P 02/05-22 52 0 0 15 65 W 8 8 2 1 E32 476 W 6 2026 P 02/05-23 52 0 0 14 62 W 8 8 2 1 E32 322 W 6 1742 P 02/06-00 52 0 0 13 63 W 9 9 2 1 E32 290 W 7 1730 P 02/06-01 52 0 0 12 65 W 9 9 2 1 E30 258 W 8 1719 P 02/06-02 52 0 0 12 67 W10 10 2 1 E28 226 W 9 1707 P 02/06-03 52 0 0 11 65 W10 10 2 1 E23 220 W 9 1697 P 02/06-04 52 0 0 11 63 W10 10 2 1 SE20 214 W 9 1687 P 02/06-05 71 0 0 11 62 W10 10 2 1 SE16 209 W 9 1677 P 02/06-06 71 0 0 12 64 W10 10 2 1 SE13 274 W 8 1895 P 02/06-07 71 0 0 12 66 W10 10 2 1 SE12 340 W 8 2114 P 02/06-08 71 0 0 15 65 W 9 9 2 1 SE10 405 W 7 2333 P 02/06-09 71 0 0 18 65 W 7 7 2 1 SE 9 1966 W 6 5531 P 02/06-10 71 0 0 21 67 NW 5 5 2 1 S10 3526 W 3 8728 P 02/06-11 71 0 0 24 65 N 2 2 2 1 S12 5086 W 2 11926 P 02/06-12 71 0 0 26 62 N 2 2 2 1 S12 5427 W 3 15419 P 02/06-13 71 0 0 27 57 NE 3 3 2 1 S13 5767 W 3 18912 P 02/06-14 71 0 0 28 54 NE 5 5 2 1 S13 6108 NW 5 22404 P 02/06-15 71 0 0 28 54 NE 5 5 2 1 SW10 5816 NW 5 23353 P 02/06-16 71 0 0 27 55 NE 3 3 2 1 W 8 5523 NW 5 24301 P 02/06-17 60 20 4 25 59 NE 2 2 2 1 W 7 5231 N 6 25250 P 02/06-18 60 20 4 23 63 E 2 2 2 1 W 7 5098 N 6 24894 P 02/06-19 60 20 4 21 66 E 2 2 2 1 NW 9 4964 N 6 24539 P 02/06-20 60 20 4 20 69 E 2 2 2 1 NW10 4831 N 6 24183 P 02/06-21 60 20 4 19 73 E 2 2 2 1 W10 4314 N 6 20166 P 02/06-22 60 20 4 18 75 CALM 1 2 1 W 9 3797 N 5 16149 P 02/06-23 58 10 2 17 77 CALM 1 2 1 W 9 3280 N 5 12132 P 02/07-00 58 10 2 16 80 CALM 1 2 1 W 9 3035 N 3 9647 P 02/07-01 58 10 2 16 81 NE 2 2 2 1 W 9 2789 N 2 7163 P 02/07-02 58 10 2 15 83 E 2 2 2 1 W 8 2544 N 2 4679 P 02/07-03 58 10 2 15 84 CALM 1 2 1 W 8 2461 NW 2 4572 P 02/07-04 58 10 2 15 84 CALM 1 2 1 W 7 2378 W 2 4464 P 02/07-05 35 8 2 15 84 CALM 0 2 1 W 6 2295 W 2 4357 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MATT HISE- FIRE OPERATIONS SPECIALIST REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120204.REYNO.01/BOU