FNUS74 KEPZ 071419
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR 3 CIRCLES- MCKNIGHT S...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
719 AM MST TUE FEB 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0720 MST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SHALLOW BACKDOOR COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING...
BUT WINDS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATION WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR
MOST OF THE DAY.  BY LATE AFTERNOON...EXPECT A LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW
TO DEVELOP.  LIGHT WINDS ALOFT AND LIMITED MIXING WILL RESULT IN VENT
RATES HOVERING RIGHT ON THE THRESHOLD OF POOR AND FAIR.

EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS TOMORROW.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO THE AREA LATE THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........29 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7
                    KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........42,000 KNOT-FEET (FAIR)


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 11 KNOTS.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........52,800 KNOT-FEET (FAIR).

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...LIZ CARVER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120207.3CIRC.01/EPZ