FNUS72 KMFL 071945
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SW5...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
245 PM EST TUE FEB 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 EST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND OFF OF THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL GREAT
PLAINS WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST UNITED
STATES THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL BE
NORTHEASTERLY BUT WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN MAINLY FROM THE
NORTHWEST TO WEST KEEPING SKIES FAIRLY CLOUDY WITH SOME CHANCE OF
RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PATCHY FOG CAN DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE AS SURFACE WINDS MAY BECOME
CALM TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
SKY (%).........65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC                 PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW                  FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
TEMP............82  81  80  79  75  71  69  68  66  65  64  64
RH..............58  60  62  71  81  87  90  97  97  100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   0
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   E   E   E   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..7   7   6   6   6   1   1   1   1   1   1   0
DISPERSION IDX..26  26  21  21  21  1   1   1   1   1   1   0
LVORI...........2   2   2   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 1.
LVORI...............10.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GARCIA
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120207.BCSW5.01/MFL