FNUS73 KPAH 071245 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAB ORCHARD CAMPGROUND PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 645 AM CST TUE FEB 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A MINOR WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TONIGHT...WHICH WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY. THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING COLDER AIR TOO...WITH HIGHS TODAY IN THE LOWER 50S DROPPING ABOUT 10 DEGREES TOMORROW...OR CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS. A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR COMES WITH THE PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT FRIDAY...MAKING FOR A BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND LOWS IN THE 20S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 52. RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............36 40 44 46 48 50 50 50 48 RH..............80 71 62 57 53 50 49 51 56 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.3 3.6 3.4 2.5 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 7 9 10 10 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CWR.................36 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN SNOW TEMP............45 41 39 37 34 32 RH..............62 76 84 87 93 92 20 FT WIND......N 3 N 3 N 3 N 4 N 5 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 100 300 600 1200 1200 TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 10 N 12 N 15 N 16 N 17 CWR.............30 30 30 40 40 40 HAINES INDEX....5 4 3 3 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF FLURRIES IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 39. RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............32 34 36 38 RH..............86 76 63 59 20 FT WIND......N 6G15 N 6G15 N 7G15 NW 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1600 3500 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..N 18 N 20 N 15 NW 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120207.CRABO.01/PAH