FNUS75 KBOU 081159 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MOUNTAIN...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 500 AM MST WED FEB 8 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL PASS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING HIGH CLOUDS AND INCREASED WINDS. THIS WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH MIXING FOR GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL BY LATE MORNING. THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW BLOWING OVER FROM THE DIVIDE. TOMORROW THERE WILL BE LESS WIND...BUT MIXING WILL STILL BE RELATIVELY DEEP...FOR FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38. MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 4000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-20. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH DECREASING TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR. POOR AFTER 0200. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL RISING TO 6000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS AROUND 30. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/08-04 51 0 0 13 59 W12 18 4 1 W49 454 W18 7795 P 02/08-05 58 0 0 7 88 W14 22 4 1 W51 166 W16 2399 P 02/08-06 58 0 0 7 96 W14 23 3 1 W51 181 W17 2760 P 02/08-07 58 0 0 8 99 W14 23 3 1 W49 196 W18 3121 P 02/08-08 58 0 0 9 95 W14 22 2 1 W47 211 W20 3482 P 02/08-09 58 0 0 12 83 W15 23 2 1 W47 860 W24 23151 P 02/08-10 58 0 0 18 67 W15 24 2 1 W48 1509 W29 42820 F 02/08-11 88 10 2 23 55 W16 25 2 1 W48 2158 W33 62489 G 02/08-12 88 10 2 27 48 W17 26 2 1 W48 3132 W35 97073 G 02/08-13 88 10 2 30 43 W17 28 2 1 W47 4105 W36 131656 V 02/08-14 88 10 2 32 41 W17 28 2 1 W47 5078 W38 166239 E 02/08-15 88 10 2 33 42 W16 25 2 1 W46 4892 W37 155336 E 02/08-16 88 10 2 32 45 W14 22 2 1 W44 4705 W36 144433 V 02/08-17 72 10 2 29 53 W13 21 2 1 W43 4518 W35 133530 V 02/08-18 72 10 2 27 54 W13 21 2 1 W43 4037 W33 116273 V 02/08-19 72 10 2 26 54 W14 23 2 1 W44 3556 W32 99016 G 02/08-20 72 10 2 24 53 W15 24 2 1 W43 3075 W31 81758 G 02/08-21 72 10 2 23 55 W14 22 2 1 W41 2792 W29 71145 G 02/08-22 72 10 2 22 57 W13 21 2 1 W38 2510 W28 60532 G 02/08-23 89 10 2 21 59 W12 18 2 1 W35 2227 W25 49920 F 02/09-00 89 10 2 20 60 W12 18 2 1 W32 2031 W24 43915 F 02/09-01 89 10 2 19 61 W13 20 2 1 W29 1834 W23 37910 P 02/09-02 89 10 2 19 61 W13 21 2 1 NW26 1638 W22 31905 P 02/09-03 89 10 2 18 62 W13 20 2 1 NW22 1691 W21 30418 P 02/09-04 89 10 2 18 62 W13 20 2 1 NW18 1744 W20 28931 P 02/09-05 49 0 0 18 62 W12 18 2 1 NW17 1741 W23 34144 P 02/09-06 49 0 0 18 61 W10 10 2 1 NW16 2116 NW22 38382 P 02/09-07 49 0 0 20 58 W10 10 3 1 NW15 2490 NW20 42619 F 02/09-08 49 0 0 22 53 W 9 9 3 1 NW14 2865 NW18 46857 F 02/09-09 49 0 0 25 49 W 8 8 3 1 NW15 3806 NW18 61021 G 02/09-10 49 0 0 28 47 W 8 8 3 1 NW15 4746 NW18 75186 G 02/09-11 26 0 0 31 44 NW 7 7 3 1 NW16 5687 NW18 89350 G 02/09-12 26 0 0 33 41 NW 7 7 3 1 NW17 6109 NW17 90446 G 02/09-13 26 0 0 35 38 NW 7 7 2 1 NW20 6531 NW16 91542 G 02/09-14 26 0 0 35 37 NW 7 7 2 1 NW21 6953 NW15 92638 G 02/09-15 26 0 0 35 37 NW 7 7 2 1 NW22 6481 NW16 89328 G 02/09-16 26 0 0 33 38 NW 8 8 2 1 NW23 6009 NW16 86018 G 02/09-17 28 0 0 31 41 NW 8 8 2 1 NW24 5537 NW17 82708 G 02/09-18 28 0 0 28 44 W 8 8 2 1 NW24 5321 NW17 78859 G 02/09-19 28 0 0 26 47 W 7 7 2 1 NW23 5106 NW17 75011 G 02/09-20 28 0 0 24 50 W 7 7 2 1 NW23 4891 NW17 71162 G 02/09-21 28 0 0 23 54 W 7 7 2 1 NW24 4355 NW16 62499 G 02/09-22 28 0 0 21 56 W 7 7 2 1 NW24 3819 NW16 53836 F 02/09-23 9 0 0 20 58 W 8 8 2 1 NW25 3283 NW16 45174 F 02/10-00 9 0 0 19 60 W 9 9 2 1 NW24 2840 NW15 38167 P 02/10-01 9 0 0 18 60 W10 10 3 1 NW24 2397 NW15 31161 P 02/10-02 9 0 0 18 61 W12 18 3 1 NW24 1955 NW14 24155 P 02/10-03 9 0 0 17 59 W13 20 3 1 NW24 1819 NW15 23942 P 02/10-04 9 0 0 17 56 W13 20 3 1 NW25 1683 W16 23729 P 02/10-05 14 0 0 17 55 W13 21 3 1 NW26 1547 W17 23517 P 02/10-06 14 0 0 17 57 W13 21 3 1 NW28 1875 W18 30240 P 02/10-07 14 0 0 18 60 W13 21 2 1 NW29 2202 W20 36963 P 02/10-08 14 0 0 21 59 W13 21 2 1 NW31 2529 NW20 43687 F 02/10-09 14 0 0 24 55 W13 20 2 1 NW32 3369 NW21 61590 G 02/10-10 14 0 0 26 52 W13 20 2 1 NW33 4208 NW22 79494 G 02/10-11 46 0 0 29 49 W13 21 2 1 NW36 5048 NW22 97397 G 02/10-12 46 0 0 31 46 W14 22 2 1 NW40 5123 NW25 110742 V 02/10-13 46 0 0 32 45 W14 23 2 1 NW44 5197 NW28 124088 V 02/10-14 46 0 0 33 44 W15 24 2 1 NW47 5272 NW30 137433 V 02/10-15 46 0 0 32 46 W15 24 2 1 NW47 4955 NW30 129528 V 02/10-16 46 0 0 31 50 W15 24 2 1 NW47 4637 NW30 121624 V 02/10-17 53 0 0 29 55 W15 24 2 1 NW45 4319 NW30 113720 V 02/10-18 53 0 0 27 58 W15 23 2 1 NW44 3900 NW31 103912 V 02/10-19 53 0 0 26 60 W14 23 2 1 NW41 3481 W31 94104 G 02/10-20 53 0 0 24 61 W14 22 2 1 NW40 3061 W32 84296 G 02/10-21 53 0 0 23 63 W14 22 2 1 NW43 2861 W31 77595 G 02/10-22 53 0 0 21 63 W14 22 2 1 NW46 2661 W31 70894 G 02/10-23 48 0 0 21 64 W14 22 2 1 NW48 2461 W30 64193 G 02/11-00 48 0 0 20 63 W14 23 2 1 NW49 2198 W30 57550 F 02/11-01 48 0 0 19 62 W15 24 2 1 NW48 1934 W30 50907 F 02/11-02 48 0 0 19 62 W15 24 2 1 NW48 1671 W30 44264 F 02/11-03 48 0 0 18 63 W15 23 2 1 NW48 1647 W29 41808 F 02/11-04 48 0 0 18 65 W14 22 2 1 NW47 1623 W28 39352 P 02/11-05 48 13 3 18 67 W13 21 2 1 NW47 1599 W26 36896 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ZACH BECKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120208.DEERM.01/BOU