FNUS74 KEPZ 081431
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR 3 CIRCLES- MCKNIGHT CYN...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
731 AM MST WED FEB 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 MST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT INCREASING AND THICKENING CLOUDS TODAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST...
WITH FAIRLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING TOWARDS MIDDAY.  BY
AFTERNOON...ENOUGH MIXING SHOULD OCCUR TO RESULT IN VENT RATES
STRADDLING THE FAIR AND GOOD CATEGORIES.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE AREA TOMORROW...MAINLY
IN THE AFTERNOON.  AS A RESULT...EXPECT A GOOD SPIKE IN RH TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW.  WINDS TOMORROW WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE MUCH OF THE
DAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST.  VENT RATES TOMORROW LOOK TO BE
IN THE FAIR CATEGORY...BUT IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH OF A CHANGE IN MIXING
HEIGHTS TO DROP IT DOWN TO 'POOR.'

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........30 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........58,500 KNOT-FEET (FAIR)


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 KNOTS BECOMING VARIABLE AROUND 3
                    KNOTS EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........52,500 KNOT-FEET (FAIR)

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...LIZ CARVER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120208.3CIRC.01/EPZ