FNUS72 KILM 081427
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
927 AM EST WED FEB 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE A COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING EAST INTO THE CAROLINAS THROUGH FRIDAY. AN ARCTIC FRONT
WILL PUSH ACROSS ON SATURDAY...WITH COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVERHEAD EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST FOR
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS...DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL NOT IMPROVE.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-65 PERCENT). A FEW SPRINKLES POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3200 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............48.
MAX LVORI...........3.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............40     63     65     42
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................46     54     59     58
RH..................72     57     48     50
20 FT WIND..........NE 2   N 3    NW 4   NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      8      11
LVORI...............3      2      2      1
ADI.................4      21     28     48

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT...DIMINISHING TO 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING N 10 MPH.
MAX ADI.............26.
MAX LVORI...........4.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............19     12     10     8      9      7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53     48     45     43     41     39
RH..................57     68     77     81     82     81
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   N 5    N 4    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     5      5
LVORI...............2      3      4      4      4      4
ADI.................26     9      11     6      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...PFAFF
REQUESTED BY...MIKE MALCOLM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120208.MILLC.01/ILM