FNUS72 KMFL 081322
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SW5...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
822 AM EST WED FEB 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA OVER
FLORIDA BAY WHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA OVER THE
ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD. WIND CIRCULATION ABOUT THE
LOW GIVES A NORTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WHICH WILL BECOME
NORTHEASTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ENOUGH MOISTURE HAS FALLEN OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS THAT ONCE THE LOW CLOUDS BURN OFF THIS MORNING
...THE DAYTIME HEATING WILL GENERATE SOME AFTERNOON SHOWERS.

WEAK NORTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS LEAD TO POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION THROUGH
TODAY. FOG WILL BE A POSSIBLY TONIGHT...NOT JUST LOW CLOUDS...AS
WINDS BECOME NEAR CALM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 36.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........75     75     75     75     75     75
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73     78     80     79     73     67
RH..............79     64     60     60     73     90
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 5    N 5    N 6    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   2600   3500   3500   3500   2100
MIXNG WIND......N 7    N 7    N 8    N 10   N 10   N 12
DISPERSION IDX..21     21     28     36     36     16
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      9      9
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING NORTH 4 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 46 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120208.BCSW5.01/MFL