FNUS73 KPAH 081250 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAB ORCHARD CAMPGROUND PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 650 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY. SOME LINGERING LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...BUT OTHERWISE...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE COMING TO AN ENDING. BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. CLOUDY SKIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES. MORE SUNSHINE AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN ON THURSDAY. A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR COMES WITH A DRY COLD FRONT PASSAGE FRIDAY. WE WILL SEE A RETURN TO REAL WINTER WEATHER...AS HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS. A GRADUAL WARM UP WILL BEGIN ON SUNDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY. SMALL CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN ON MONDAY AND LAST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........34 AT IGNITION...MAX 36. RH..................82 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-2700 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............34 35 34 35 35 35 35 33 RH..............82 78 78 72 72 69 69 75 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 29 28 26 26 25 RH..............78 88 92 100 96 92 20 FT WIND......N 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....400 200 200 300 100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 14 N 13 N 12 N 10 NW 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 43. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-2900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............24 30 38 42 RH..............92 75 52 46 20 FT WIND......NW 1 NW 2 SW 3G5 SW 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1800 2900 1800 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 NW 6 W 6 W 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120208.CRABO.01/PAH