FNUS72 KTAE 081103
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 807-E...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
603 AM EST WED FEB 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
REGION THIS MORNING BRINGING WITH IT A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
AIRMASS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUE ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW
CRITICAL LEVELS BOTH TODAY AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDICES WILL BE IN THE MODERATE RANGE WITH TRANSPORT
WINDS RANGING IN DIRECTION FROM NORTH TODAY TO NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 13 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION INCREASING TO
                    3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSION....50 TO 55.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........58     56     54     54     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     61     67     69     67
RH..............59     43     31     27     30
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 6    N 8    N 8    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9      11     14     14     14
TRANSPORT WINDS.N 8    N 10   N 13   N 15   N 15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSION....AROUND 10.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........45     22     28     28     35     35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     58     54     51     47     45
RH..............35     45     51     56     60     63
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12     10     8      7      7      7
TRANSPORT WINDS.N 15   N 13   N 12   N 11   N 10   NE 10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....45 TO 50.

TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........35     35     39     39     42     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     44     51     57     61     64
RH..............67     62     49     38     32     30
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 6    NE 6   NE 6   NE 5   N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7      8      11     12     12     11
TRANSPORT WINDS.NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  NE 9   NE 9   NE 8

$$
FORECASTER...BRYAN MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120208.807E_.01/TAE