FNUS75 KBOU 091210 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MOUNTAIN...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 500 AM MST THU FEB 9 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL BE DECREASING THIS MORNING AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEPARTS THE AREA. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE WELL MIXED TODAY FOR GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION. WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY...KEEPING THE ATMOSPHERE RELATIVELY WELL MIXED. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN MORE MARGINAL DISPERSAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0900. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-38. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL RISING TO 7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100... THEN EXCELLENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR. POOR AFTER 2400. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MIN HUMIDITY........39-44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 5000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/09-04 89 44 21 19 67 W16 26 2 1 NW25 2132 W25 47745 F 02/09-05 54 33 12 20 67 W16 25 2 1 NW25 2120 W26 49166 F 02/09-06 54 33 12 20 69 W14 23 2 1 NW26 2217 W26 49758 F 02/09-07 54 33 12 20 70 W12 18 2 1 NW26 2313 NW25 50349 F 02/09-08 54 33 12 21 69 W 9 15 2 1 NW28 2409 NW24 50941 F 02/09-09 43 0 0 23 65 W 8 13 2 1 NW29 3339 NW26 82012 G 02/09-10 43 0 0 26 60 W 8 13 2 1 NW31 4268 NW30 113084 V 02/09-11 43 0 0 29 55 W 8 13 2 1 NW32 5198 NW32 144156 V 02/09-12 43 0 0 31 52 W 9 14 2 1 NW32 5941 NW31 162501 E 02/09-13 22 0 0 32 50 W 9 15 2 1 NW31 6684 NW31 180847 E 02/09-14 22 0 0 32 49 NW10 16 2 1 NW31 7427 NW31 199193 E 02/09-15 22 0 0 32 49 NW10 16 2 1 N31 6967 NW30 180345 E 02/09-16 22 0 0 31 49 NW10 16 2 1 N31 6507 NW29 161497 E 02/09-17 22 0 0 30 50 NW 9 15 2 1 N31 6048 NW28 142650 V 02/09-18 22 0 0 28 52 NW 8 14 2 1 N32 5282 NW26 121090 V 02/09-19 22 0 0 26 55 W 7 7 2 1 N33 4517 NW25 99530 G 02/09-20 22 0 0 22 61 W 7 7 2 1 N33 3752 NW24 77970 G 02/09-21 22 0 0 20 63 W 7 7 2 1 N33 3156 NW23 64044 G 02/09-22 22 0 0 19 65 W 7 7 2 1 N32 2561 NW22 50119 F 02/09-23 20 0 0 18 65 W 8 13 2 1 N32 1966 NW21 36193 P 02/10-00 20 0 0 17 65 W 9 15 2 1 N32 1680 NW20 29908 P 02/10-01 20 0 0 16 64 W10 16 2 1 NW35 1394 W20 23622 P 02/10-02 28 0 0 16 63 W12 18 2 1 NW37 1108 W18 17337 P 02/10-03 28 0 0 15 61 W13 21 2 1 NW41 1105 W18 17995 P 02/10-04 28 0 0 15 61 W14 22 2 1 NW46 1102 W20 18654 P 02/10-05 32 0 0 15 61 W15 24 2 1 NW49 1099 W21 19313 P 02/10-06 32 0 0 15 62 W16 25 2 1 NW52 1354 W23 28181 P 02/10-07 32 0 0 16 63 W17 28 2 1 NW52 1609 W25 37049 P 02/10-08 32 0 0 19 59 W18 30 2 1 NW53 1864 W29 45918 F 02/10-09 32 0 0 23 55 W18 30 2 1 NW47 2028 W32 58864 F 02/10-10 32 0 0 26 52 W18 29 2 1 NW48 2797 W33 83480 G 02/10-11 54 0 0 29 49 W17 28 2 1 NW49 3566 NW35 108096 V 02/10-12 54 0 0 31 46 W17 26 2 1 NW51 4071 NW37 133796 V 02/10-13 54 0 0 33 44 W16 26 2 1 NW52 4576 NW39 159496 E 02/10-14 54 0 0 34 44 W16 25 2 1 NW53 5081 NW41 185196 E 02/10-15 54 0 0 33 46 W16 26 2 1 NW54 4680 NW40 165962 E 02/10-16 54 0 0 32 49 W17 26 2 1 NW55 4278 NW39 146728 V 02/10-17 73 20 4 29 55 W17 28 2 1 NW55 3877 NW38 127494 V 02/10-18 73 20 4 27 59 W17 28 2 1 NW54 3240 NW36 103060 V 02/10-19 73 20 4 25 62 W17 28 2 1 NW53 2604 W33 78626 G 02/10-20 73 20 4 23 64 W17 28 2 1 NW51 1967 W32 54192 F 02/10-21 73 20 4 21 66 W16 26 2 1 NW51 1526 W29 40381 F 02/10-22 73 20 4 20 68 W15 24 2 1 NW49 1085 W25 26570 P 02/10-23 73 20 4 19 69 W14 22 2 1 NW51 644 W23 12759 P 02/11-00 73 20 4 18 69 W14 22 2 1 NW51 559 W21 10459 P 02/11-01 73 20 4 17 68 W13 21 2 1 NW52 473 W20 8158 P 02/11-02 73 20 4 16 68 W13 21 2 1 NW53 387 W17 5858 P 02/11-03 73 20 4 16 69 W12 20 2 1 NW54 367 W16 5125 P 02/11-04 73 20 4 16 72 W12 12 2 1 NW54 347 W14 4392 P 02/11-05 41 0 0 16 74 W10 10 2 1 NW53 328 W13 3659 P 02/11-06 41 0 0 16 77 W 9 9 2 1 NW51 397 W13 4444 P 02/11-07 41 0 0 17 80 W 9 9 2 1 NW47 467 W13 5229 P 02/11-08 41 0 0 19 77 W 8 8 2 1 NW44 536 W13 6013 P 02/11-09 41 0 0 22 72 W 7 7 2 1 NW39 1766 W13 20918 P 02/11-10 41 0 0 24 68 SW 6 6 2 1 NW35 2996 W14 35823 P 02/11-11 55 20 4 27 63 SW 5 5 2 1 W31 4226 W14 50728 F 02/11-12 55 20 4 29 60 SW 5 5 2 1 W28 4436 W14 52041 F 02/11-13 55 20 4 30 57 S 3 3 2 1 W25 4645 W14 53354 F 02/11-14 55 20 4 30 56 S 3 3 2 1 W24 4854 W13 54666 F 02/11-15 55 20 4 30 58 S 3 3 2 1 W25 4009 W12 41167 F 02/11-16 55 20 4 29 62 S 2 2 2 1 W26 3163 W 9 27667 P 02/11-17 70 20 4 26 69 S 2 2 2 1 W29 2317 W 7 14168 P 02/11-18 70 20 4 24 74 SW 2 2 2 1 SW30 1669 SW 7 10007 P 02/11-19 70 20 4 23 79 SW 2 2 2 1 SW30 1021 SW 6 5847 P 02/11-20 70 20 4 21 83 SW 3 3 2 1 SW30 372 SW 6 1686 P 02/11-21 70 20 4 19 88 SW 5 5 2 1 SW30 308 SW 6 1534 P 02/11-22 70 20 4 18 92 SW 6 6 2 1 SW30 243 SW 7 1383 P 02/11-23 76 20 4 17 93 W 7 7 2 1 SW30 179 W 8 1231 P 02/12-00 76 20 4 16 94 W 7 7 2 1 SW33 167 W 7 1076 P 02/12-01 76 20 4 16 94 W 7 7 3 1 SW36 156 W 7 922 P 02/12-02 76 20 4 15 93 W 6 6 3 1 SW38 145 W 6 768 P 02/12-03 76 20 4 15 92 SW 5 5 3 1 SW36 149 SW 5 661 P 02/12-04 76 20 4 15 92 SW 3 3 2 1 SW33 152 SW 5 554 P 02/12-05 69 20 4 15 91 SW 2 2 2 1 SW29 156 SW 3 447 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ZACH BECKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120209.DEERM.01/BOU