FNUS75 KGJT 091153
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIREMOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
453 AM MST THU FEB 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SNOWFALL EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE BURN AREA SHOULD END
BY MID MORNING WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ANOTHER WAVE WILL
BE MOVING THROUGH WESTERN COLORADO BY MID-DAY...BUT WITH A MOISTURE
DECREASING SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. COLDER
AIR WILL ARRIVE WITH THIS SECOND WAVE THOUGH AND STEEPEN LAPSE RATES
ENOUGH TO BRING DEEPER MIXING AND GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL. CONDITIONS
WILL NOT BE AS FAVORABLE ON FRIDAY AS A TEMPORARY RIDGE BUILDS IN
ALOFT. THE ARRIVAL OF THIS WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL RELAX LAPSE RATES
AND MIXING WILL BE REDUCED. LIGHT WINDS ALOFT WILL ALSO LIMIT
DISPERSAL...LEADING TO ONLY A FEW HOURS OF LOW END FAIR CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%)
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 42 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    BY LATE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING...INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 48 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS THROUGH MID MORNING BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    TO UPVALLEY AT AROUND 5 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING LOW END FAIR FROM 1300 TO 1500.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...RYAN MCCULLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120209.FIREM.01/GJT