FNUS72 KTAE 090846
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARWEA BLOODY BLUFF...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
346 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE LOCAL
REGION TODAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO THE MID 30S
AROUND THE BLOODY BLUFF FIRE AREA. LIKEWISE...ERC VALUES AS WELL
AS WINDS AND DISPERSIONS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. THUS NO
RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BRIEFLY
RETURN ON FRIDAY WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES 35 TO 40 PERCENT IN
THE FORECAST AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........RISING TO AROUND 41.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........49     49     48     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     60     63     65
RH..............49     41     36     34
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 6   NE 5   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........FALLING TO AROUND 3.
LVORI...............3 TO 4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........48     48     48     48     48     47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     51     48     45     42     41
RH..............48     61     65     69     72     73
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    N 2    N 2    N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST THEN SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION..........RISING TO AROUND 24.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........47     47     49     49     51     60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     45     56     63     66     67
RH..............79     75     58     45     39     39
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 3    NE 4   SE 3   S 3    SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     15

$$
FORECASTER...RON BLOCK
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW HORTMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120209.ARWEA.01/TAE