FNUS74 KBMX 102303
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR POTTER MTN...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
503 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1655 CST ON FEBRUARY 10.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. RAINFALL WILL BE LIMITED IN THE BURN AREA...WITH MAINLY
SPRINKLES OR VERY LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED. THE FRONT WILL USHER IN
GUSTY WINDS...WHICH SHOULD START IN THE BURN AREA BETWEEN 3 AM
AND 6 AM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...AND INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE
SATURDAY. I WOULD EXPECT 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTS INITIALLY...BUT
INCREASING TO 20 MPH OR MORE BY 10 AM AND LASTING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.  PREDOMINANT WIND DIRECTIONS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............46     43     42     41     40     38
RH..............64     72     76     76     76     77
20 FT WIND......NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NW 5   NW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   3000   1700   1100   1800   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12   W 12   W 9    NW 8   NW 15  NW 20
DISPERSION......33     28     16     5      10     26

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     34     33     34     34     33
RH..............79     74     64     52     44     40
20 FT WIND......NW 12  NW 14  NW 16  NW 16  NW 16  NW 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   3100   4000   4500   5200   5300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 21  NW 25  NW 29  NW 29  NW 30  NW 30
DISPERSION......23     34     39     84     94     94

$$
FORECASTER...WESTLAND
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120210.POTTE.02/BMX