FNUS75 KBOU 101417 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 708 AM MST FRI FEB 10 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 2 TO 5 INCHES. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SNOW ON SATURDAY WITH LINGERING MOISTURE. GIVEN A FAIRLY STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THERE WILL BE SOME GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS AT TIMES TODAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....31. MIN HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 0500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....14. MAX HUMIDITY........94%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....23. MIN HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/10-07 49 0 0 17 67 W14 23 3 1 NW49 2029 W33 58275 F 02/10-08 47 0 0 18 71 W14 23 3 1 NW53 2067 W33 60475 G 02/10-09 47 0 0 20 71 W14 22 3 1 NW55 2799 W33 82554 G 02/10-10 47 0 0 23 69 W13 21 2 1 NW58 3531 NW35 104633 V 02/10-11 66 38 16 26 66 W12 20 2 1 NW59 4263 NW35 126712 V 02/10-12 66 38 16 28 63 W12 17 2 1 NW62 4631 NW33 135117 V 02/10-13 66 38 16 29 60 W10 16 2 1 NW63 5000 NW33 143522 V 02/10-14 70 38 16 30 58 NW 9 15 2 1 NW64 5368 NW32 151926 E 02/10-15 70 38 16 30 60 NW 9 14 2 1 NW64 5283 NW32 150305 E 02/10-16 70 38 16 29 63 W 8 13 2 1 NW63 5198 NW33 148683 V 02/10-17 85 67 48 28 66 W 7 7 2 1 NW61 5114 NW33 147061 V 02/10-18 85 67 48 27 69 W 7 7 2 1 NW59 4460 W30 120245 V 02/10-19 85 67 48 25 72 W 6 6 2 1 NW56 3805 W28 93428 G 02/10-20 85 67 48 23 74 W 5 5 2 1 NW55 3151 W24 66611 G 02/10-21 85 67 48 22 76 W 5 5 2 1 NW55 2634 W22 52794 F 02/10-22 85 67 48 21 77 W 5 5 2 1 NW56 2116 W21 38977 P 02/10-23 82 67 48 20 77 SW 3 3 2 1 NW59 1598 W18 25160 P 02/11-00 82 67 48 19 77 W 5 5 2 1 NW60 1352 W17 20516 P 02/11-01 82 67 48 18 77 W 6 6 2 1 NW60 1106 W16 15873 P 02/11-02 82 67 48 17 76 W 6 6 2 1 NW60 860 W15 11229 P 02/11-03 82 67 48 17 77 W 7 7 2 1 NW59 713 W14 8879 P 02/11-04 82 67 48 16 77 W 7 7 2 1 NW58 567 W13 6528 P 02/11-05 86 30 9 16 78 W 7 7 2 1 NW56 420 W12 4177 P 02/11-06 86 30 9 14 86 W 7 7 2 1 NW58 386 W10 3596 P 02/11-07 86 30 9 14 90 W 7 7 2 1 NW60 351 W 9 3014 P 02/11-08 86 30 9 15 94 W 7 7 2 1 NW63 317 W 9 2433 P 02/11-09 86 30 9 17 90 W 6 6 2 1 NW54 783 W10 8318 P 02/11-10 86 30 9 20 83 W 6 6 2 1 NW51 1186 W13 13745 P 02/11-11 83 10 2 21 81 W 5 5 2 1 NW47 1590 W14 19172 P 02/11-12 83 10 2 22 78 W 5 5 2 1 W45 1780 W14 21219 P 02/11-13 83 10 2 23 76 SW 3 3 2 1 W41 1970 W14 23265 P 02/11-14 83 10 2 23 76 SW 3 3 2 1 W39 2160 W14 25311 P 02/11-15 83 10 2 23 79 SW 3 3 2 1 W37 1580 W12 17675 P 02/11-16 83 10 2 22 82 SW 3 3 2 1 W36 1000 W 9 10038 P 02/11-17 81 10 2 20 89 SW 3 3 2 1 W35 420 W 7 2401 P 02/11-18 81 10 2 18 96 SW 5 5 2 1 W33 348 W 7 2071 P 02/11-19 81 10 2 17 98 W 7 7 2 1 W32 277 W 7 1741 P 02/11-20 81 10 2 16 100 W 8 8 2 1 W31 205 W 8 1411 P 02/11-21 81 10 2 15 100 W 8 8 2 1 W30 183 W 8 1273 P 02/11-22 81 10 2 15 100 W 7 7 2 1 W30 160 W 8 1136 P 02/11-23 79 10 2 14 100 W 7 7 2 1 W30 137 W 8 998 P 02/12-00 79 10 2 14 100 W 7 7 2 1 W31 135 W 8 980 P 02/12-01 79 10 2 15 96 W 8 8 2 1 SW32 133 W 8 962 P 02/12-02 79 10 2 14 97 W 8 8 2 1 SW33 132 W 8 945 P 02/12-03 79 10 2 14 96 W 8 8 2 1 SW36 139 W 8 1002 P 02/12-04 79 10 2 14 94 W 8 8 2 1 SW38 146 W 8 1059 P 02/12-05 81 20 4 14 94 W 8 8 2 1 SW38 153 W 8 1116 P 02/12-06 81 20 4 14 97 W 8 8 2 1 SW38 156 W 8 1159 P 02/12-07 81 20 4 14 99 W 8 8 2 1 SW36 160 W 9 1202 P 02/12-08 81 20 4 14 100 W 7 7 2 1 S32 163 W 9 1244 P 02/12-09 81 20 4 18 86 SW 7 7 2 1 SW29 1754 W13 29062 P 02/12-10 81 20 4 24 70 SW 7 7 2 1 SW25 3345 W16 56880 F 02/12-11 88 20 4 27 64 SW 6 6 2 1 SW22 4935 W20 84698 G 02/12-12 88 20 4 30 58 SW 5 5 2 1 W20 5160 W21 90491 G 02/12-13 88 20 4 31 56 W 3 3 2 1 W17 5384 W21 96284 G 02/12-14 88 20 4 32 56 W 3 3 2 1 W16 5608 W21 102077 V 02/12-15 88 20 4 31 60 W 3 3 2 1 W15 5505 W21 97709 G 02/12-16 88 20 4 30 65 W 5 5 2 1 NW14 5403 W20 93341 G 02/12-17 86 25 5 28 73 W 6 6 2 1 NW14 5300 W20 88974 G 02/12-18 86 25 5 25 79 W 6 6 2 1 NW17 4985 W20 84830 G 02/12-19 86 25 5 24 80 W 7 7 2 1 NW21 4671 NW20 80686 G 02/12-20 86 25 5 23 81 W 7 7 2 1 NW22 4356 NW21 76542 G 02/12-21 86 25 5 22 85 W 7 7 2 1 NW21 3970 NW18 65786 G 02/12-22 86 25 5 21 86 W 8 8 2 1 NW18 3585 NW17 55030 F 02/12-23 73 19 4 21 85 W 8 8 2 1 NW17 3199 NW16 44274 F 02/13-00 73 19 4 20 84 W 8 8 2 1 NW18 3276 NW17 47619 F 02/13-01 73 19 4 21 73 W 9 9 2 1 NW21 3353 NW17 50964 F 02/13-02 73 19 4 20 72 W 9 14 2 1 W23 3429 W18 54308 F 02/13-03 73 19 4 20 72 W 9 15 2 1 W24 3557 W20 62386 G 02/13-04 73 19 4 20 71 W10 15 2 1 W25 3684 W22 70464 G 02/13-05 54 19 4 20 72 W10 16 2 1 W25 3812 W24 78542 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...ZACH BECKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120210.DEERM.01/BOU