FNUS75 KBOU 101427 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEIL RANCH PA7...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 719 AM MST FRI FEB 10 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UNDER AN INCH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLDER ON SATURDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. LOW LEVEL STABILITY WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33. MIN HUMIDITY........63%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....22. MIN HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEIL RANCH PA7. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/10-07 48 0 0 19 74 W 9 15 2 1 NW33 228 W 9 1734 P 02/10-08 47 0 0 20 80 W 8 14 2 1 NW37 245 W 8 1815 P 02/10-09 47 0 0 22 82 NW 7 7 2 1 NW40 502 W 8 2911 P 02/10-10 47 0 0 24 80 NW 6 6 2 1 NW45 759 NW 7 4007 P 02/10-11 56 19 4 27 78 N 3 3 2 1 NW49 1016 NW 6 5104 P 02/10-12 56 19 4 29 73 N 2 2 2 1 NW53 1854 NW 7 11755 P 02/10-13 56 19 4 31 69 N 2 2 2 1 NW55 2691 NW 7 18407 P 02/10-14 59 21 4 32 67 N 2 2 2 1 NW58 3529 NW 8 25058 P 02/10-15 59 21 4 31 69 CALM 1 2 1 NW56 3242 NW 7 20592 P 02/10-16 59 21 4 30 73 CALM 1 2 1 NW55 2955 W 6 16126 P 02/10-17 71 45 22 29 76 CALM 1 2 1 NW54 2668 W 5 11659 P 02/10-18 71 45 22 27 78 SE 2 2 2 1 NW53 2407 W 5 8942 P 02/10-19 71 45 22 25 81 SE 3 3 2 1 NW53 2146 S 3 6225 P 02/10-20 71 45 22 23 82 SE 5 5 2 1 NW52 1885 S 2 3508 P 02/10-21 71 45 22 21 84 SE 6 6 2 1 NW52 1744 S 3 4420 P 02/10-22 71 45 22 20 84 E 6 6 2 1 NW51 1603 S 3 5332 P 02/10-23 78 45 22 19 84 E 6 6 2 1 NW51 1462 S 5 6243 P 02/11-00 78 45 22 18 82 E 5 5 2 1 NW53 1359 SE 5 4994 P 02/11-01 78 45 22 17 80 E 5 5 2 1 NW54 1255 SE 3 3744 P 02/11-02 78 45 22 16 78 E 5 5 2 1 NW55 1152 E 2 2494 P 02/11-03 78 45 22 15 76 E 5 5 2 1 NW53 1127 E 2 2211 P 02/11-04 78 45 22 15 76 E 3 3 2 1 NW49 1101 E 2 1929 P 02/11-05 74 30 9 14 78 E 3 3 2 1 NW46 1076 E 2 1646 P 02/11-06 74 30 9 14 85 E 3 3 2 1 NW46 1096 CALM 1364 P 02/11-07 74 30 9 13 97 E 2 2 2 1 NW47 1115 CALM 1081 P 02/11-08 74 30 9 15 100 E 2 2 2 1 NW48 1135 CALM 799 P 02/11-09 74 30 9 18 93 NE 2 2 2 1 NW45 1669 W 2 2705 P 02/11-10 74 30 9 22 86 CALM 1 2 1 NW41 1870 W 2 3692 P 02/11-11 63 10 2 22 90 CALM 1 2 1 NW39 2071 W 2 4679 P 02/11-12 63 10 2 21 94 CALM 1 2 1 NW38 2010 W 2 4911 P 02/11-13 63 10 2 21 94 E 2 2 2 1 W37 1948 SW 3 5142 P 02/11-14 63 10 2 22 93 E 2 2 2 1 W36 1887 SW 3 5373 P 02/11-15 63 10 2 22 89 E 2 2 2 1 W35 1727 SW 3 5099 P 02/11-16 63 10 2 21 92 CALM 1 2 1 W33 1567 S 3 4825 P 02/11-17 71 10 2 20 95 CALM 1 2 1 W32 1407 S 3 4550 P 02/11-18 71 10 2 17 100 CALM 1 2 1 W30 1166 SW 3 3659 P 02/11-19 71 10 2 17 100 CALM 1 3 1 W29 924 SW 3 2769 P 02/11-20 71 10 2 16 100 CALM 1 3 1 W26 683 SW 3 1878 P 02/11-21 71 10 2 15 100 CALM 1 3 1 W28 538 SW 3 1440 P 02/11-22 71 10 2 14 100 W 2 2 3 1 W29 392 W 2 1002 P 02/11-23 70 10 2 14 100 W 2 2 3 1 W30 247 W 2 564 P 02/12-00 70 10 2 14 100 W 2 2 3 1 W31 248 W 2 558 P 02/12-01 70 10 2 15 100 SW 2 2 3 1 W31 249 SW 2 552 P 02/12-02 70 10 2 15 100 SW 2 2 3 1 W31 251 SW 2 546 P 02/12-03 70 10 2 14 100 SW 2 2 3 1 W28 229 SW 2 517 P 02/12-04 70 10 2 14 100 W 3 3 2 1 W24 207 SW 2 489 P 02/12-05 71 20 4 13 100 W 3 3 2 1 W22 185 W 2 460 P 02/12-06 71 20 4 12 100 W 3 3 2 1 SW22 185 W 2 460 P 02/12-07 71 20 4 12 100 W 3 3 2 1 SW23 185 W 2 461 P 02/12-08 71 20 4 16 100 SW 5 5 2 1 SW24 185 W 2 461 P 02/12-09 71 20 4 24 72 SW 5 5 2 1 SW24 448 W 5 2965 P 02/12-10 71 20 4 32 55 SW 3 3 3 1 W24 712 W 7 5470 P 02/12-11 74 20 4 32 56 SW 3 3 3 1 W22 975 W 9 7974 P 02/12-12 74 20 4 31 61 S 2 2 3 1 W18 1063 W 9 8703 P 02/12-13 74 20 4 31 62 E 2 2 3 1 W15 1151 W 9 9433 P 02/12-14 74 20 4 32 62 CALM 1 3 1 W13 1238 W 9 10163 P 02/12-15 74 20 4 33 61 CALM 1 3 1 W15 1201 W 8 8520 P 02/12-16 74 20 4 32 66 CALM 1 3 1 W17 1164 W 7 6877 P 02/12-17 74 23 5 30 72 CALM 1 3 1 W20 1127 W 6 5234 P 02/12-18 74 23 5 28 79 NW 2 2 3 1 NW22 975 NW 5 4086 P 02/12-19 74 23 5 27 79 NW 2 2 2 1 NW22 823 NW 3 2938 P 02/12-20 74 23 5 27 80 NW 3 3 2 1 NW23 670 NW 3 1790 P 02/12-21 74 23 5 26 82 NW 3 3 2 1 NW23 601 NW 3 1668 P 02/12-22 74 23 5 24 87 W 5 5 2 1 NW22 531 NW 3 1546 P 02/12-23 62 15 3 24 85 W 5 5 2 1 NW22 461 W 3 1424 P 02/13-00 62 15 3 24 78 W 6 6 2 1 NW21 488 W 3 1654 P 02/13-01 62 15 3 25 68 W 6 6 2 1 NW20 516 W 5 1884 P 02/13-02 62 15 3 25 64 W 7 7 2 1 NW20 544 W 5 2115 P 02/13-03 62 15 3 24 62 W 7 7 2 1 NW20 502 W 5 2091 P 02/13-04 62 15 3 24 62 W 7 7 2 1 W22 461 W 6 2067 P 02/13-05 48 13 3 23 64 W 7 7 2 1 W23 420 W 6 2044 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120210.HEILR.01/BOU