FNUS75 KBOU 101445 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 739 AM MST FRI FEB 10 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UNDER AN INCH. A STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN GUSTY WEST WINDS AT TIMES TODAY ALONG WITH IMPROVING SMOKE DISPERSAL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLDER ON SATURDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....13. MAX HUMIDITY........96%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25. MIN HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RENOLDSRANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/10-07 47 0 0 16 72 W16 26 4 1 NW39 1168 W33 35104 P 02/10-08 46 0 0 17 75 W16 26 4 1 NW39 1316 W37 42202 F 02/10-09 46 0 0 20 73 W16 25 3 1 NW41 1964 W36 59938 F 02/10-10 46 0 0 24 68 W15 24 3 1 NW46 2613 NW35 77674 G 02/10-11 63 32 11 27 64 W14 22 2 1 NW51 3261 NW33 95410 G 02/10-12 63 32 11 29 61 W13 20 2 1 NW55 3862 NW33 113064 V 02/10-13 63 32 11 30 60 W12 17 2 1 NW60 4463 NW33 130718 V 02/10-14 67 32 11 30 60 W 9 15 2 1 NW63 5064 NW33 148372 V 02/10-15 67 32 11 30 63 W 8 14 2 1 NW63 4584 NW31 127632 V 02/10-16 67 32 11 28 68 W 7 7 2 1 NW63 4105 W30 106892 V 02/10-17 62 46 23 27 73 W 6 6 2 1 NW61 3625 W28 86152 G 02/10-18 62 46 23 25 75 W 6 6 2 1 NW59 2943 W23 64411 G 02/10-19 62 46 23 24 77 SW 5 5 2 1 NW55 2262 W20 42670 F 02/10-20 62 46 23 22 78 SW 3 3 2 1 NW54 1580 W15 20929 P 02/10-21 62 46 23 21 78 SW 3 3 2 1 NW54 1339 W14 16976 P 02/10-22 62 46 23 20 77 SW 3 3 2 1 NW56 1098 W13 13023 P 02/10-23 74 46 23 19 76 S 3 3 2 1 NW58 858 W13 9070 P 02/11-00 74 46 23 18 77 SW 3 3 2 1 NW56 724 W12 7387 P 02/11-01 74 46 23 17 78 W 5 5 2 1 NW55 590 W10 5704 P 02/11-02 74 46 23 17 79 NW 6 6 2 1 NW53 456 W10 4022 P 02/11-03 74 46 23 16 79 NW 6 6 2 1 NW53 426 W 9 3520 P 02/11-04 74 46 23 15 81 NW 6 6 2 1 NW52 396 W 9 3019 P 02/11-05 82 30 9 15 83 NW 5 5 2 1 NW53 366 W 8 2517 P 02/11-06 82 30 9 13 93 NW 5 5 2 1 NW54 340 W 7 2230 P 02/11-07 82 30 9 13 96 W 3 3 2 1 NW56 315 W 7 1943 P 02/11-08 82 30 9 15 95 SW 2 2 2 1 NW60 289 W 7 1655 P 02/11-09 82 30 9 17 87 SW 2 2 2 1 NW53 700 W 9 5955 P 02/11-10 82 30 9 21 76 W 2 2 2 1 NW48 953 W10 8988 P 02/11-11 69 10 2 22 73 W 3 3 2 1 NW45 1206 W12 12022 P 02/11-12 69 10 2 24 69 W 3 3 2 1 W41 1280 W12 12559 P 02/11-13 69 10 2 25 68 SW 2 2 2 1 W40 1353 W12 13096 P 02/11-14 69 10 2 25 69 S 2 2 2 1 W38 1426 W12 13633 P 02/11-15 69 10 2 24 74 S 2 2 2 1 W37 1061 W 9 9583 P 02/11-16 69 10 2 23 81 S 2 2 2 1 W35 697 SW 7 5533 P 02/11-17 66 10 2 20 93 S 2 2 2 1 W33 332 SW 5 1484 P 02/11-18 66 10 2 17 100 SW 3 3 2 1 W32 274 SW 6 1298 P 02/11-19 66 10 2 16 100 SW 5 5 2 1 W33 216 W 6 1113 P 02/11-20 66 10 2 16 100 W 6 6 2 1 W33 157 W 7 927 P 02/11-21 66 10 2 14 100 W 6 6 2 1 W30 139 W 7 815 P 02/11-22 66 10 2 13 100 W 6 6 2 1 W28 120 W 7 703 P 02/11-23 76 10 2 13 100 W 6 6 2 1 W25 102 W 7 591 P 02/12-00 76 10 2 13 100 W 6 6 2 1 W29 101 W 7 596 P 02/12-01 76 10 2 14 99 SW 6 6 2 1 W32 100 SW 7 600 P 02/12-02 76 10 2 13 100 SW 6 6 2 1 SW35 99 SW 7 605 P 02/12-03 76 10 2 13 99 W 6 6 2 1 SW32 103 W 7 609 P 02/12-04 76 10 2 12 100 W 7 7 2 1 SW29 107 W 7 612 P 02/12-05 81 20 4 12 100 W 7 7 2 1 SW25 111 W 7 616 P 02/12-06 81 20 4 12 100 W 7 7 2 1 SW24 113 W 7 677 P 02/12-07 81 20 4 12 100 W 7 7 3 1 SW24 115 W 7 738 P 02/12-08 81 20 4 14 100 W 7 7 3 1 SW25 116 W 8 799 P 02/12-09 81 20 4 18 93 W 7 7 3 1 SW28 193 W 9 1593 P 02/12-10 81 20 4 22 77 W 6 6 2 1 SW29 270 W 9 2388 P 02/12-11 82 20 4 24 70 W 6 6 2 1 SW29 347 W10 3182 P 02/12-12 82 20 4 27 64 W 5 5 2 1 SW25 1768 W16 38485 P 02/12-13 82 20 4 28 62 W 3 3 3 1 W20 3190 W22 73789 G 02/12-14 82 20 4 28 64 W 3 3 3 1 W15 4612 W28 109092 V 02/12-15 82 20 4 27 68 W 3 3 3 1 W14 3868 W26 89001 G 02/12-16 82 20 4 26 74 W 3 3 3 1 NW13 3124 W25 68909 G 02/12-17 78 25 5 24 82 W 5 5 3 1 NW13 2380 W24 48818 F 02/12-18 78 25 5 22 87 W 6 6 3 1 NW13 2063 W21 39194 P 02/12-19 78 25 5 22 86 W 6 6 3 1 NW12 1745 W18 29570 P 02/12-20 78 25 5 22 83 W 7 7 3 1 NW12 1427 W16 19947 P 02/12-21 78 25 5 20 87 W 7 7 3 1 NW13 1175 W15 15737 P 02/12-22 78 25 5 20 88 W 8 8 3 1 NW15 923 W14 11528 P 02/12-23 66 17 3 19 88 W 8 8 3 1 NW17 671 W13 7319 P 02/13-00 66 17 3 19 86 W 8 8 3 1 NW17 817 W14 9652 P 02/13-01 66 17 3 20 79 W 9 9 3 1 NW17 964 W14 11985 P 02/13-02 66 17 3 20 79 W 9 14 3 1 NW17 1110 W15 14318 P 02/13-03 66 17 3 19 79 W 9 14 3 1 W18 1291 W16 18654 P 02/13-04 66 17 3 19 81 W 9 14 3 1 W21 1471 NW17 22990 P 02/13-05 53 16 3 19 82 W 9 14 3 1 W22 1652 NW20 27326 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120210.REYNO.01/BOU