FNUS74 KHGX 102255
FWSHGX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAUSEWAY...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
455 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT. SKIES WILL CLEAR
RAPIDLY AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHEASTERLY BY EARLY
SATURDAY NIGHT. EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY WINDS
BEFORE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS
ON MONDAY BRINGING YET ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IT
IS STILL A BIT PREMATURE...BUT IF THE WARM FRONT MOVES FAR ENOUGH TO
THE NORTH ON MONDAY...A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AS YET ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER TEXAS.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  53  52  50  49  48  48  47  47  46  46  45
RH..............75  89  89  96  96  96  93  93  89  89  83  82
20FT WIND DIR...NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20FT WIND (MPH).9   10  10  11  12  14  14  14  15  16  17  18
20FT WIND GUST..10  10  10  10          15  15  15  15  15
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............45  45  46  47  49  50  51  52  53  53  53  52
RH..............79  76  71  65  58  54  50  48  46  44  44  46
20FT WIND DIR...N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20FT WIND (MPH).18  18  18  18  18  16  16  15  14  13  13  13
20FT WIND GUST..                    15  15  15  15  15  15  15
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...A COLD START TO THE DAY WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS SHOULD BECOME EAST. SKIES WILL BECOME
CLOUDY BY EVENING. HIGHS ONLY IN THE MID 50S.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY BY NOON WITH RAIN
CONTINUING THROUGH EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST BY EVENING. WINDS WILL RELAX
IN THE WAKE OF THE WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST.

.TUESDAY...CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A BIT WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE BY MORNING AND THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...WITH RAIN BECOMING LIKELY BY AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST
WINDS NEAR 15 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTH BY EVENING. SPEEDS WILL AGAIN
DECREASE OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MODEL CONSENSUS IS POOR BUT AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS THAT THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TIME TO TIME. FIRST GUESS...IS THAT A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE COAST ON THURSDAY WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER...ROESELER
REQUESTED BY...NWS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120210.CAUSE.02/HGX