FNUS72 KMFL 110005
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIGHTON CE-10 CE 20...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
705 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1915 EST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT. AHEAD OF
THE FRONT, ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER WILL OCCUR WITH SHOWERS BECOMING
LIKELY AROUND MIDNIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
PREVENT THE FORMATION FOR FOG NEAR THE BURN SITE EVEN WITH THE
HIGH LVORI NUMBERS AND LOW DISPERSION BUT THERE COULD BE SOME
BRIEF LOW VISIBILITY WITH ANY PASSING SHOWER. THERE IS SOME FOG
MOVING ONTO THE COASTAL COLLIER REGION FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO.
HOWEVER, DUE TO THE FORMATION OF THE FOG OVER THE WATER THIS FOG
WILL ONLY AFFECT THIS REGION AND NOT REACH THE FIRE SITE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........72     80     88     90     90     90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............68     64     62     61     59     59
RH..............92     97     97     100    96     92
20 FT WIND......W 3    NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   1700   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......W 6    NW 6   NW 6   NW 7   NW 8   NW 8
DISPERSION IDX..13     13     7      9      10     10
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     70     70     70
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0700...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...LT  SAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120210.BRIGH.02/MFL