FNUS74 KEPZ 131805
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SNARE MESA SOUTH...SILVER CITY DISP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1105 AM MST MON FEB 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1110 MST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY WHICH WILL HELP
WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
TO AROUND 50 WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAINING ABOVE
30 PERCENT. AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
EASTERN ARIZONA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE BURN AREA ALONG WITH WINDY
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE AFTERNOON AS A STRONG FUNNELING
EFFECT IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE VALLEY LOCATION OF THE BURN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON
                    RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120213.SNARE.01/EPZ