FNUS74 KMRX 131348 FWSMRX SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE APALACHIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 848 AM EST MON FEB 13 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY SOUTHEAST TODAY...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD A LIGHT WINTRY MIX INTO SOUTHEAST TN AND SOUTHWESTERN NC BEFORE DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE WINTRY MIX SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY MID MORNING TUESDAY...AS WARMER AIR OVERTAKES THE COLDER AIRMASS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT MSL...4500 FT MSL. BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..3000 FT AGL. TOP MIX HGT AGL.....2800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH. DISPERSION..........9. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........34 69 69 69 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 42 47 47 RH..............41 28 23 27 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT MSL... BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL.. TOP MIX HGT AGL..... MIXING WINDS........ DISPERSION.......... $$ FORECASTER...JERRY HEVRDEYS REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN MCCALL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120213.LAKEA.01/MRX