FNUS71 KRNK 130052 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES RIVER STATE PARK RX BURN...VADCR-STATE PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 752 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH HUMIDITIES RECOVERING INTO THE 70 PERCENT RANGE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO MONDAY. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND LINGERING DRY AIR WILL AGAIN CAUSE HUMIDITY LEVELS TO FALL TO BELOW 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS NEAR 20 PERCENT AT TIMES. HOWEVER WINDS SHOULD BE MUCH LIGHTER WHILE BACKING AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD US LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE OVERHEAD WEDNESDAY. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............1 1 6 10 13 30 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................21 23 32 38 43 46 RH..................56 52 36 30 24 21 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 2 SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 REMARKS... CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE RIVER MAY KEEP HUMIDITY LEVELS UP AROUND 30 PERCENT DUE TO LESS MIXING OVER COLD WATER/GROUND BUT WITH THE AIR MASS SO DRY AND WEAKLY MIXED FROM ALOFT...APPEARS HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE FALLING BELOW 35-40 PERCENT AT IGNITION TIME...AND INTO THE 20-25 PERCENT LEVELS FROM THAT POINT ON INTO THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...REED STANLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120213.JAMES.01/RNK