FNUS75 KGJT 141015
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CANY NEEDLES PILE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
315 AM MST TUE FEB 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SPIN ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA TODAY PUMPING MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. ITS ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT WILL PASS OVER THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS
SOME POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY SHOWERS NEAR
THE FRONT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...THOUGH SHOWERS WILL CREATE LOTS OF VARIABILITY.
SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AND BECOME ISOLATED AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY WILL LIMIT SHOWERS AND MIXING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......500 INCREASING TO 700 EXCEPT 1000+ IN SHOWERS.
LAL.................1 BECOMING 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......500 DECREASING TO 100 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 550 AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...KEITH KRAUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120214.CANYN.01/GJT