FNUS75 KGJT 150729
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAFER TRAIL PILE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1230 PM MST TUE FEB 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY EAST
INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA THROUGH TONIGHT. MOISTURE SPINNING AROUND THIS
LOW WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH SKIES
CLEARING BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 650 BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6600 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......DROPPING TO 400 BY 1900...THEN DECREASING TO
                    100 BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 100...INCREASING TO 650 BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...KEITH KRAUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120214.SHAFE.01/GJT