FNUS72 KJAX 141527
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1027 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
INTO TONIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO AFFECT THE REGION ON THURSDAY.
RH'S ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH THE WEEK.
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 15 MPH OR LESS THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THERE IS A CHANCE AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL MOVE INTO THE GUANA
RIVER WMA AFTER 3 PM BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THIS POSSIBLITY.
WE WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST IF THE SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........46     48     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     70     69
RH..............55     54     58
20 FT WIND......SW 14  SW 13  S-SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   3300   2600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23  SW 21  SW 18
DISPERSION INDX.57     70     52
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........70     83     78     82     84     85
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     64     64     63     61     60
RH..............66     74     78     81     89     92
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1100   800    500    500    700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15  SW 12  SW 9   SW 8   SW 8   SW 9
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.25     8      6      5      5      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT CRAWFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120214.GUANA.01/JAX