FNUS74 KLIX 142345 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-15-C-S...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 545 PM CST TUE FEB 14 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 1WHAT IS THE FOG POTENTIAL FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING IF FOG IS POSSIBLE, WHEN IS IT LIKELY TO OCCUR, WHAT IS THE EXPECTED AREAL COVERAGE AND DENSITY IF RAIN DOES NOT OCCUR, HOW WILL THAT AFFECT THE FOG POTENTIAL SURFACE HIGH OVER WEST TENNESSEE IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE EAST TOWARD THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL QUICKLY BECOME EAST-SOUTHEAST AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT SURFACE LOW WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE COASTAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE QUICK MOVEMENT OF THESE SYSTEMS...WINDS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 5 KNOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE. HOWEVER...LIGHT WINDS AND OVERCAST SKY WILL IMPEDE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG. THEREFORE...PATCHY FOG CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL DENSE AT TIMES BUT NOT BE PREVAILING THROUGH THE NIGHT. 2WHAT ARE THE CHANCES OF THE WIND GOING CALM DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING WINDS SHOULD NOT BECOME CALM AS THE THESE SYSTEM ARE MOVING QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST. 3WHAT WILL BE THE MAXIMUM WIND GUST WE SHOULD EXPECT WEDNESDAY AND WHAT WILL BE THE TIME FRAME OF OCCURRENCE OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 17 KNOTS MAY OCCUR 10 AM AND 5 PM WEDNESDAY. 4 WHAT ARE THE CHANCES OF LIGHTNING AFFECTING OUR OPERATIONS WEDNESDAY LIGHTNING MAY NO AFFECT YOUR OPERATIONS UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...CHANCES ARE LOW FOR LIGHTNING AFFECTING YOUR OPERATIONS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. 5 ALLOWABLE WIND DIRECTIONS ARE E, SE, AND SOUTH. WHAT ARE THE CHANCES OF WIND DIRECTION BEING OUTSIDE OF ALLOWABLE ON WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL VEER FROM EAST TO SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WITH WIND SUSTAINED SPEEDS REMAINING BETWEEN 7 TO 12 KNOTS FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY THROUGH 4 AM THURSDAY...CHANCES ARE LOW FOR THE WIND DIRECTION OUTSIDE OF THIS RANGE. 6 WHAT TIME IS RAIN EXPECTED TO BEGIN, AND HOW MUCH RAIN IS EXPECTED BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 12 AM THURSDAY AND 6 AM THURSDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.5 AND 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES MAY OCCUR WEDNESDAY EVENING. .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATE WEDNESDAY...AND THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST ALONG THE COAST ON SATURDAY. .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........22 22 22 22 22 22 38 38 38 38 38 38 73 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............65 65 63 60 59 57 57 55 54 53 51 50 50 RH..............50 56 64 67 69 69 69 74 77 83 86 86 83 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NE NE NE E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 DISPERSION......14 14 14 14 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 73 73 70 70 70 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............50 51 59 68 70 68 RH..............83 89 78 61 57 66 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 5 E 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 800 1300 1300 1100 MIX HGT (M).....90 90 240 400 400 340 TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 7 E 12 SE 13 SE 13 SE 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 3 E 3 E 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 DISPERSION......5 6 10 22 22 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 40 40 40 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........93 93 93 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............64 61 59 59 60 62 RH..............78 93 90 87 90 93 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 S 9 S 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 700 1000 1000 900 MIX HGT (M).....210 210 210 300 300 270 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 14 S 15 S 18 S 18 S 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 6 S 7 S 8 S 8 S 6 DISPERSION......14 14 16 16 16 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY... CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SAUCIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120214.CPTG1.01/LIX