FNUS72 KMHX 141229 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH FLYBUS RD...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 729 AM EST TUE FEB 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE BY TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY WITH LIMITED CHANCES FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND PUSHES OFFSHORE THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............99 99 98 98 96 93 90 87 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................45 48 50 53 54 54 54 52 RH..................60 56 54 48 46 46 48 54 20 FT WIND DIR......W W SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 6 8 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 15 15 10 10 10 LVORI...............3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................2 14 36 58 60 56 49 34 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............84 82 80 76 73 70 66 64 63 62 60 58 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 48 47 46 45 44 44 43 43 42 42 42 RH..................63 74 79 86 89 93 93 96 96 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... LVORI...............2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 ADI.................20 11 11 12 12 7 7 6 6 6 6 7 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............56 55 48 34 28 25 19 17 19 23 25 23 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 41 43 47 50 52 54 56 57 57 57 56 RH..................96 92 89 79 74 69 64 59 59 59 59 62 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... LVORI...............6 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 ADI.................8 9 9 6 5 35 34 33 31 28 26 19 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120214.NORTH.01/MHX