FNUS71 KAKQ 151515 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG LEAF...NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF FOREST SERVICES (NCDFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1015 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1300-27400 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............2 4 6 8 11 14 17 21 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 53 56 58 60 61 60 58 RH..................56 50 43 40 36 35 35 39 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.1 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......10 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 14 12 9 9 8 8 8 VRATE KT-FT/1000....23 27 27 26 25 22 21 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (900-7000 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N NE NE E E E E E E SE SE E TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 7 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 900-2300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (1000-39700 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 80 80 80 80 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E E SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....5 6 7 8 10 14 17 20 17 13 10 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 3 5 9 17 28 40 28 15 8 8 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 FORECASTER...GINGRICH REQUESTED BY...HURDLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120215.LONGL.01/AKQ