FNUS72 KILM 151613
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HUNDLEY TRACT...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1113 AM EST WED FEB 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE
WEST. BREEZY AND MILD CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS CAN BE
EXPECTED THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. THE FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY COOLER AND DRIER AIR
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. A POTENTIALLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY
IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND STRONG WIND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH
                    5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX ADI.............26.
MAX LVORI...........10.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (500-20700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............17     15     19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58     61     61
RH..................50     43     43
20 FT WIND..........N 5    N 3    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5
LVORI...............2      2      2
ADI.................20     22     21
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...17     20     19

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX ADI.............8.
MAX LVORI...........7.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-5400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............23     28     37     46     53     70
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57     53     50     47     45     44
RH..................49     56     62     70     81     97
20 FT WIND..........N 3    N 2    E 1    E 1    E 0    E 0
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5
LVORI...............2      4      5      7      7      7
ADI.................8      5      4      2      1      1
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...6      1      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...ZOUZIAS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID ROOKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120215.HUNDL.01/ILM