FNUS72 KJAX 151958 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 30 P-BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 258 PM EST WED FEB 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1505 EST ON FEBRUARY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...AREAS OF FOG EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY... .DISCUSSION... A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WILL KEEP THE BOUNDARY LAYER MOIST AND EXPECT AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT. LVORI INDICES WILL BE NEAR 7 IN THE BURN AREA. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES NEAR 80 DEGREES. NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY WITH WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH EXCEPT NEAR ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH POSSIBLE CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS EACH AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH ON SUNDAY THEN GENERALLY AT 15 MPH OR LESS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH NEXT WEDNESDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RAIN CHANCES LATE IN THE DAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....1. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LVORI...............7. TIME (EST) 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........74 72 74 70 71 71 69 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY AREAS WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG TEMP............78 73 67 64 62 61 59 RH..............52 62 80 87 91 95 98 20 FT WIND......SW 7 E 2 NE 3 NE 2 E 1 E 1 SE 1 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 1800 500 300 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 NE 5 E 5 E 5 E 3 SE 3 SE 5 LVORI........... 7 7 7 7 7 7 DISPERSION INDX.19 10 2 2 2 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....48. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........76 71 62 67 69 69 WEATHER COV.....AREAS PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 60 70 77 80 80 RH..............99 100 78 58 51 50 20 FT WIND......SE 1 S 3 S 8 S 10 SW 12 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1400 2300 4000 4600 4000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 13 S 14 SW 15 SW 16 SW 16 LVORI...........M M M M M M DISPERSION INDX.4 23 37 56 47 45 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120215.COMP3.01/JAX