FNUS72 KMFL 162028
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SE4 2...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
328 PM EST THU FEB 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1535 EST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN DRY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TOMORROW MORNING
BEFORE A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN SITE. THE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AT 5 TO 10 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE GOING LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG FORMATION OVER THE BURN SITE LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE DISPERSION WILL ALSO BE
LESS THAN 5 FOR TONIGHT WHICH WILL BE VERY POOR FOR THE BURN SITE
TONIGHT. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 50%
FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN SITE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 84.
RH..................49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM
SKY (%).........58     58     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............84     82     73     68     65     64
RH..............49     58     76     90     100    100
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 5    S 3    SW 3   SW 2   W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4000   500    500    300    200
MIXNG WIND......SE 9   SE 9   S 6    SW 6   SW 3   W 1
DISPERSION IDX..44     44     4      4      1      1
LVORI...........1      10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 60.
RH..................100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............10.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 84.
RH..................49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 29.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...LEROY YATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120216.BCSE4.02/MFL