FNUS72 KMLB 170248
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CR 561   THOMPSON PL...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
948 PM EST THU FEB 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2125 EST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL RETREAT
EASTWARD INTO TONIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD INTO
NORTH FLORIDA. INCREASING CLOUD COVER WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THIS
BOUNDARY AND A FEW SHOWERS MAY REACH THE BURN SITE LATE TONIGHT AS
THE FRONT NEARS CLOSER TO THE AREA. LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY ALSO ALLOW FOR PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP TOWARD DAYBREAK FRIDAY WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE
NEAR THE WILDFIRE DUE TO SMOKE MIXING WITH FOG.

RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS
THE FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES INTO LAKE COUNTY. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS FRONT.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH OR
                    LESS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (EST)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        RNF RNF RNF RW  RW  RW
TEMP............69  67  66  65  64  64  63  63  62  63  66  68
RH..............78  84  87  90  93  93  97  97  100 97  89  84
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120216.CR561.01/MLB