FNUS72 KMFL 171245
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOXBURN14...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
745 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A LIGHT SOUTH WIND FLOW
AT THE BURN SITE WITH SEA BREEZES DEVELOPING ALONG BOTH COASTS.
THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL MOVE INLAND ARRIVING AT THE BURN
SITE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. DUE TO THIS LIGHT WIND FLOW, THE
MAXIMUM DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE POOR TO FAIR. A
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS ALSO LOCATED ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA
AND THIS WILL CAUSE ENOUGH INSTABILITY THAT THERE COULD BE A FEW
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FIRE SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........58     58     58     58     58     60
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73     78     79     80     77     72
RH..............72     60     58     56     67     78
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   3500   3500   3500   3500   1900
MIXNG WIND......S 10   S 10   S 14   S 16   S 16   S 9
DISPERSION IDX..27     27     36     40     40     6
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      7      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH BECOMING WEST 1 TO 3 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 12 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 33.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...JON WALLACE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120217.LOXBU.01/MFL