FNUS72 KMLB 171228
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMSON MARSH FIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
728 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0702 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY
THEN LIFT BACK NORTH ON SATURDAY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALL DAY WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. THE FORECAST OF MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WILL LIMIT MIXING HEIGHTS TO BETWEEN 3500 AND 4000
FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL LIMIT
DISPERSION FROM SINGLE DIGITS THIS MORNING TO AROUND 29 THIS
AFTERNOON WHEN THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES BETTER MIXED. 20 FOOT WINDS
WILL BE AROUND 5 MPH AND FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING THEN
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON

TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS TO 9
MPH SHIFT TO THE EAST AT AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX LVORI
AROUND 8 WITH MAX RH 100 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............66  69  71  74  77  80  80  79  79  79  76  74
RH..............90  87  81  76  69  62  58  58  56  62  66  73
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............8.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...DAVID FOGLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120217.THOMS.01/MLB