FNUS72 KMFL 181337 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR BC SE2...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 837 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0850 EST ON FEBRUARY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY WITH A VERY LIGHT WIND FLOW. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SEA BREEZES TO DEVELOP ALONG BOTH COASTS AND MOVE INLAND MERGING NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW LEVEL WIND WILL BE NEAR CALM EARLY THIS MORNING AND THEN BECOME SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZES CONVERGE. DISPERSION WILL BE POOR TO FAIR THIS MORNING BECOMING GENERALLY GOOD THIS AFTERNOON. THERE HAS ALSO BEEN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE CENTRAL GULF STATES. THIS ALONG WITH THE MERGING BREEZES, A FEW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP WITH SLOW AND ERRATIC MOVEMENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 54. LVORI...............8. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........67 63 56 46 32 31 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....FOG RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............68 76 81 85 84 81 RH..............100 73 56 49 48 64 20 FT WIND......NE 0 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2700 4000 4000 4000 4000 MIXNG WIND......NE 0 S 7 S 12 S 12 S 14 S 14 DISPERSION IDX..0 21 57 57 50 50 LVORI...........8 8 8 8 8 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 65. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 4. LVORI...............6. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 61. LVORI...............5. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...BRABANDER REQUESTED BY...KEITH YEATES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120218.BCSE2.01/MFL