FNUS72 KMFL 181257
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOXBURN14...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
757 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY WITH A VERY LIGHT WIND FLOW. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A SEA
BREEZE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST COAST BY LATE THIS MORNING WHICH
WILL REACH THE BURN SITE SHORTLY AFTER THE NOON HOUR. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION THIS MORNING BECOMING GENERALLY
GOOD DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE HAS BEEN SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASE AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SOUTHERN
GULF STATES AND ALONG WITH THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT WILL CAUSE A
FEW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MOVEMENT ON THE SHOWERS WILL BE SLOW AND ERRATIC.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NEAR CALM WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 52.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........64     63     58     47     42     41
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     80     81     82     79     75
RH..............71     56     54     53     60     69
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 3    SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   2700   4000   4000   4000   2900
MIXNG WIND......S 6    S 6    SE 14  SE 15  SE 15  S 8
DISPERSION IDX..19     19     48     55     55     5
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 65.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...JON WALLACE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120218.LOXBU.01/MFL