FNUS72 KMLB 180644
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMSON MARSH FIRE...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
144 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0109 EST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS DRAPED NEAR THE WILDFIRE
LOCATION EARLY THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY LIGHT FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS AND DIRECTION WILL BE TRICKY. WIND DIRECTION WILL BE VARIABLE
TO OCCASIONALLY SOUTHWEST OR WEST. DISPERSION INDICES WILL REMAIN POOR
DUE TO SUCH A LIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA. AREAS OF FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS (STRATUS) WILL BE AROUND THIS MORNING WITH CHANCES THAT THERE
MAY NOT BE MUCH IMPROVEMENT UNTIL LATER IN THE MORNING OR EVEN
EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHT THIS MORNING (< 20 PERCENT)
AND INCREASING TO CHANCE (30 PERCENT) THIS AFTERNOON. MOST RAINFALL WILL
BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

TONIGHT...WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY THIS (SATURDAY)
EVENING AND DISPERSION VALUES REMAIN POOR WITH FOG/LOW STRATUS CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT LIKELY AGAIN.

.REST OF FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY MORNING..

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG...LOCALLY DENSE AT
                    TIMES. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    SUNRISE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH TO NEAR CALM BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 5 MPH BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......LESS THAN 20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............10.

TIME (EST)      1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............64  64  64  63  63  63  65  67  70  73  76  79
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 94  89  84  81  71  64
20 FT WIND DIR..VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB CLM CLM SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   1   1   1   0   0   3   4   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING...LOCALLY
                    DENSE IN SPOTS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 7 TO
                    11 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...LT  ROBERT L  ASBILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120218.THOMS.02/MLB