FNUS75 KGJT 200421
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CANY NEEDLES PILE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
921 PM MST SUN FEB 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE EXITING TO THE EAST OF THE
REGION TODAY...BEING REPLACED BY DRY WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON BUT MOST OF THE ENERGY AND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TO THE
NORTH OF THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......150 INCREASING TO 800 LATE BY LATE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL BY
                    LATE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......100 THEN INCREASING TO 5900 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...KEITH KRAUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120220.CANYN.01/GJT