FNUS76 KMFR 200614
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILOT PROJECT...BLM, MEDFORD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1014 PM PST SUN FEB 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA TODAY
WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION TOTALS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY LIGHT.  CEILINGS MONDAY WILL START OFF AROUND 4000
FEET MSL THEN RISE TO 5500 FEET MSL IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS TRANSLATES
TO ABOUT 2500 FEET ABOVE THE BOTTOM OF THE BURN AREA RISING TO 4000
FEET ABOVE THE BURN BOTTOM.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 BOTTOM...43 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT BOTTOM...85 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 2500 FT ABOVE BURN BOTTOM.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................75 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41 BOTTOM...38 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT ABOVE BURN BOTTOM LOWERING TO SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 BOTTOM...54 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT BOTTOM...65 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT BECOMING WEST 2-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 2500 FT ABOVE BURN BOTTOM.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...NICKY WEBB SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120220.PILOT.01/MFR