FNUS72 KILM 211355 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDY ISLAND NOTH END...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 855 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFFSHORE TODAY. A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH MAY BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A HUNDREDTH OR TWO. GRADUALLY WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN EACH DAY...THE BEST CHANCE WILL OCCUR FRIDAY WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY STRONG WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR THE WEEKEND. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-54049 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (26449-66355 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............78 79 79 77 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 55 60 59 RH..................65 58 55 61 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 E 3 E 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...26 54 66 60 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-6554 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 61 55 48 46 41 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................57 54 51 50 50 49 RH..................70 80 86 88 89 91 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 5 5 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...7 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-48759 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (70495-113389 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............36 34 35 35 35 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 51 61 65 67 66 RH..................92 84 59 52 50 52 20 FT WIND..........W 4 W 5 SW 5 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 15 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 5 49 82 106 109 $$ FORECASTER...III REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120221.SANDY.01/ILM