FNUS73 KPAH 211629 AAA FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BASS PONDS...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1029 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THIS PRESCRIBED BURN FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT SHORT TERM TRENDS IN THE WINDS AND CLOUD COVER FROM IGNITION TIME THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAYTIME HOURS THIS TUESDAY. AS MENTIONED IN THE PRIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE...THE CLOUDS WILL SLOW THE UPWARD PROGRESSION OF TEMPERATURES...WINDS AND DEWPOINTS EARLY ON... WHICH WILL RAISE RELATIVE HUMDITY LEVELS AT IGNITION TIME AND SLIGHTLY REDUCE WINDS SLIGHTLY IN THE MIXING LAYER. AFTER A BREAK IN THE RAIN CHANCES WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE REGION THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG AND GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM...BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE TAKES HOLD AND DRIES THINGS OUT FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT) BY MID AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5300-7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 TO 44 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 53 54 55 55 54 53 RH..............54 50 46 45 43 43 44 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 13 12 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 25 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 6.9 7.1 6.6 6.0 5.9 5.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.31 28 29 29 28 20 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-2300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO WEST 37 TO 39 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 47 44 43 41 40 RH..............50 58 62 62 70 73 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5300 2300 700 1500 1000 900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 9 W 38 W 39 W 38 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 5 5 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36 TO 37 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 47 57 62 RH..............76 63 47 39 20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 6G15 SW 10G25 SW 11G30 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1400 2500 5300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 37 W 37 W 37 W 36 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120221.BASSP.01/PAH