FNUS73 KPAH 212226 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BASS PONDS...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 426 PM CST TUE FEB 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1630 CST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH THE HEARTLAND TODAY...A FAIR WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL DOMINATE THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. AS WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM EXPECTED ON THURSDAY... TEMPERATURES WILL RISE SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THERE IS THE SMALL WINDOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON /ROUGHLY BETWEEN 2PM TO 4PM CST/ FOR WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IN THE SOUTHEAST MISSOURI FOOTHILLS. THE NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN AGAIN ON MONDAY. COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS RAINFALL WILL BRING TEMPERATURES TO OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 47 45 43 42 41 RH..............52 58 62 62 67 70 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5300 4900 3200 900 600 800 TRANSPORT WIND..W 26 W 31 SW 21 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64. RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 7300-9200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 29 TO 37 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST 36 TO 45 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 47 58 63 RH..............67 63 45 36 20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 6G15 SW 10G25 SW 11G30 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1000 2000 9200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 SW 29 W 45 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120221.BASSP.02/PAH