FNUS71 KAKQ 221231 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR NANNEYS CREEK...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 731 AM EST WED FEB 22 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST AND OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TODAY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST DURING THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD.....0 SECONDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............33 34 35 36 37 37 38 36 34 33 49 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 50 52 55 58 61 63 64 65 65 64 RH..................86 74 69 61 53 48 43 41 40 41 43 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 1.3 2.3 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 3.2 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 10 14 17 18 20 21 23 24 24 20 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 12 28 50 62 74 86 95 101 99 55 LVORI...............4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................6 7 9 58 68 57 63 69 73 72 49 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DOMINANT PERIOD (S).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD.....0 SECONDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING WEST 17 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............65 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 82 77 72 67 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 60 58 56 55 54 54 53 53 53 52 52 RH..................48 51 57 64 72 71 71 74 77 77 80 80 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S SW W W W SW S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 10 14 20 24 23 21 17 14 12 10 12 VRATE KT-FT/1000....21 2 3 4 5 7 8 8 5 4 2 3 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 ADI.................25 11 15 22 22 21 18 15 13 11 10 11 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DOMINANT PERIOD (S).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD.....MISSING. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4800-5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............62 57 52 48 43 39 34 29 29 28 28 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 52 54 58 62 65 68 69 70 70 69 68 RH..................86 83 80 72 62 56 49 47 45 44 45 49 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 1.3 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 3.4 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW W W W W W W W W W SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 17 18 20 21 23 25 26 25 23 21 15 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 4 21 41 63 83 105 124 117 104 87 45 LVORI...............4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................13 15 16 27 54 65 76 83 79 72 61 39 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DOMINANT PERIOD (S).M M M M M M M M M M M M FORECASTER...GINGRICH REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120222.NANNE.01/AKQ