FNUS71 KAKQ 221412 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLIES NECK...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 912 AM EST WED FEB 22 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST AND OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TODAY. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST DURING THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............40 43 41 40 38 39 40 41 56 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 52 54 56 58 59 59 59 57 RH..................71 66 61 57 53 51 51 51 55 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 2.4 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD......7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.....8 8 12 14 17 18 20 20 17 VRATE KT-FT/1000....13 21 29 41 54 59 61 59 35 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............71 86 82 79 75 72 68 65 68 72 75 79 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 53 52 52 52 52 51 51 51 50 50 49 RH..................61 66 69 71 71 71 77 77 77 80 80 83 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 50 50 50 50 50 50 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 10 10 12 13 15 18 21 21 20 17 15 VRATE KT-FT/1000....16 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 5 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4700 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.4 4.1 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.1 2.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW W W W W W W SW SW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 12 9 8 7 8 10 12 12 12 12 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 7 12 14 17 24 35 47 47 45 41 26 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 FORECASTER...GINGRICH REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120222.WILLI.01/AKQ