FNUS75 KBOU 221556 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 856 AM MST WED FEB 22 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS GOING TO CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY. THE STRONG WINDS OBSERVED THIS MORNING ARE GOING TO PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL ALSO PRODUCE SNOW AT TIMES. SMOKE DISPERSAL VALUES WILL BE IN THE EXCELLENT CATEGORY BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO MANAGE THE FIRE BOUNDARY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 1100. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-40. MIN HUMIDITY........44-52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......STRONG WINDS. WEST WINDS 40-55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 64-80 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 77-88 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-22. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 30-45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN 20-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 84 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 60-80 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 0200...THEN 4400-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 1700. SNOW UNTIL 1100. SNOW LIKELY AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....21. MIN HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 13-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40-52 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400-10400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/22-08 88 60 38 35 45 W48 82 2 1 NW87 2512 W68 148927 V 02/22-09 88 60 38 35 46 W45 76 2 1 NW84 2885 W71 181618 E 02/22-10 88 60 38 34 48 W43 73 2 1 NW81 3258 W75 214308 E 02/22-11 80 32 11 33 52 W40 69 2 1 NW77 3631 W78 246998 E 02/22-12 80 32 11 34 50 W41 70 2 1 NW76 3506 W79 242088 E 02/22-13 80 32 11 34 49 W45 76 2 1 NW75 3380 W81 237178 E 02/22-14 80 32 11 34 49 W46 78 2 1 NW74 3255 W82 232268 E 02/22-15 80 32 11 34 50 W44 75 2 1 NW69 3051 W82 217844 E 02/22-16 80 32 11 33 52 W40 69 2 1 W64 2847 W82 203420 E 02/22-17 79 53 28 32 54 W38 64 2 1 W62 2643 W83 188995 E 02/22-18 79 53 28 30 56 W38 64 2 1 W64 2542 W83 183860 E 02/22-19 79 53 28 29 59 W40 69 2 1 W69 2441 W84 178725 E 02/22-20 95 53 28 28 60 W41 70 2 1 W75 2339 W85 173591 E 02/22-21 95 53 28 28 61 W41 70 2 1 W79 2585 W84 189356 E 02/22-22 95 53 28 27 60 W40 69 2 1 W85 2831 W84 205122 E 02/22-23 95 88 81 27 60 W39 67 2 1 W92 3077 W83 220887 E 02/23-00 95 88 81 26 61 W37 60 2 1 W104 3523 W79 239788 E 02/23-01 95 88 81 26 61 W33 54 2 1 W115 3969 W76 258689 E 02/23-02 94 88 81 25 61 W30 48 2 1 W121 4415 W73 277590 E 02/23-03 94 88 81 25 60 W26 43 2 1 W116 4620 W67 265034 E 02/23-04 94 88 81 24 59 W23 37 2 1 W107 4826 W61 252479 E 02/23-05 95 86 78 19 70 W20 30 2 1 W96 5031 W55 239923 E 02/23-06 95 86 78 20 67 W18 28 2 1 W87 5839 W51 253051 E 02/23-07 95 86 78 19 68 W17 25 2 1 W79 6648 W47 266179 E 02/23-08 95 85 76 19 67 W16 24 2 1 W73 7457 W43 279307 E 02/23-09 93 85 76 19 65 W16 24 2 1 W66 8330 NW41 299978 E 02/23-10 93 85 76 20 63 W16 24 2 1 NW59 9203 NW40 320650 E 02/23-11 96 63 42 20 61 W16 24 2 1 NW53 10076 NW39 341321 E 02/23-12 96 63 42 21 59 NW16 24 2 1 NW47 10264 NW37 331453 E 02/23-13 96 63 42 21 57 NW16 24 2 1 NW43 10452 NW36 321585 E 02/23-14 80 63 42 21 55 NW16 24 2 1 NW39 10640 NW33 311717 E 02/23-15 80 63 42 20 55 NW16 24 2 1 NW39 10457 NW35 313463 E 02/23-16 80 63 42 20 53 NW15 23 2 1 NW40 10275 NW36 315209 E 02/23-17 70 51 27 18 56 NW15 23 2 1 NW43 10092 NW36 316955 E 02/23-18 70 51 27 15 59 W15 22 2 1 NW43 8371 NW36 261386 E 02/23-19 70 51 27 14 61 W15 22 2 1 N43 6650 NW36 205816 E 02/23-20 51 51 27 12 64 W15 23 2 1 N43 4930 NW35 150246 E 02/23-21 51 51 27 13 62 W15 23 2 1 N37 4721 NW35 139798 V 02/23-22 51 51 27 12 63 W15 23 2 1 NW32 4512 NW33 129350 V 02/23-23 41 22 4 11 63 W16 24 2 1 NW32 4303 NW32 118903 V 02/24-00 41 22 4 10 62 W17 26 2 1 NW40 4064 W36 124694 V 02/24-01 41 22 4 9 63 W20 29 2 1 NW53 3825 W40 130485 V 02/24-02 41 22 4 9 61 W21 31 2 1 NW67 3586 W44 136276 V 02/24-03 41 22 4 8 62 W22 33 2 1 NW77 3234 W46 126779 V 02/24-04 41 22 4 8 61 W24 36 3 1 NW86 2883 W47 117282 V 02/24-05 25 5 1 8 61 W24 37 3 1 NW92 2532 W49 107786 V 02/24-06 25 5 1 8 62 W24 36 3 1 NW91 2360 W47 97402 G 02/24-07 25 5 1 8 67 W22 33 3 1 NW87 2189 W46 87018 G 02/24-08 25 5 1 9 65 W21 31 3 1 NW81 2018 W44 76635 G 02/24-09 25 5 1 13 59 W20 29 3 1 NW71 2222 W43 81082 G 02/24-10 25 5 1 16 54 W17 26 3 1 NW62 2425 W40 85529 G 02/24-11 25 0 0 20 47 W16 24 3 1 NW55 2629 W39 89976 G 02/24-12 25 0 0 23 43 W15 23 3 1 NW53 2777 W38 90041 G 02/24-13 25 0 0 25 41 W15 23 3 1 NW54 2926 W36 90107 G 02/24-14 25 0 0 25 41 W15 23 3 1 NW55 3075 W33 90172 G 02/24-15 25 0 0 25 42 W15 22 3 1 NW55 2825 W33 81300 G 02/24-16 25 0 0 25 43 W14 21 2 1 NW55 2576 W32 72427 G 02/24-17 21 0 0 23 45 W14 21 2 1 NW54 2326 W31 63555 G 02/24-18 21 0 0 22 48 W14 21 2 1 NW53 1961 W29 51094 F 02/24-19 21 0 0 21 50 W14 21 2 1 NW51 1595 W26 38633 P 02/24-20 21 0 0 20 52 W14 21 2 1 NW47 1230 W24 26171 P 02/24-21 21 0 0 20 51 W14 21 2 1 NW44 1102 W25 23959 P 02/24-22 21 0 0 19 52 W14 21 2 1 NW40 975 W25 21747 P 02/24-23 21 0 0 19 52 W14 21 2 1 W38 848 W26 19535 P 02/25-00 21 0 0 19 51 W15 22 3 1 W38 813 W28 19817 P 02/25-01 21 0 0 18 52 W15 23 3 1 W40 779 W30 20100 P 02/25-02 21 0 0 18 51 W16 24 4 1 W41 744 W31 20383 P 02/25-03 21 0 0 17 52 W17 25 4 1 W43 712 W33 20551 P 02/25-04 21 0 0 17 51 W17 25 4 1 W43 681 W36 20719 P 02/25-05 27 5 1 17 52 W17 26 4 1 W41 649 W37 20887 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120222.BEARL.01/BOU