FNUS75 KBOU 221505 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHADED FUEL BREAK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 805 AM MST WED FEB 22 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE STATE TODAY AND TOMORROW. STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY. MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON WHICH MAY PRODUCE SNOW OVERNIGHT. THE WINDY CONDITIONS ALOFT WILL PRODUCE FAVORABLE SMOKE DISPERSAL...BUT THE GUSTY SURFACE WINDS MAY CHALLENGE EFFORTS TO CONTROL THE FIRE BOUNDARY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-56. MIN HUMIDITY........20-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 45-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4800-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0500...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-28. MAX HUMIDITY........66-74%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-32. MIN HUMIDITY........40-46%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHADED FUEL BREAK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/22-07 54 1 0 37 43 W32 55 3 1 NW52 1305 W48 54875 F 02/22-08 54 1 0 39 40 W30 51 3 1 NW58 1427 W48 59858 F 02/22-09 54 1 0 42 36 W31 53 3 1 NW59 2555 W51 118435 V 02/22-10 54 1 0 45 33 W33 56 3 1 NW59 3682 NW54 177012 E 02/22-11 54 0 0 49 29 W36 61 3 1 NW58 4809 NW56 235588 E 02/22-12 54 0 0 51 27 W39 67 3 1 NW55 5013 NW53 230980 E 02/22-13 54 0 0 52 25 W41 70 2 1 NW54 5217 W51 226372 E 02/22-14 54 0 0 52 25 W40 69 2 1 NW53 5421 W47 221764 E 02/22-15 54 0 0 52 25 W33 56 2 1 NW54 5237 W48 219805 E 02/22-16 54 0 0 50 27 W24 41 2 1 NW58 5053 W49 217846 E 02/22-17 46 0 0 48 29 W17 30 2 1 NW60 4869 W51 215887 E 02/22-18 46 0 0 46 32 W16 28 2 1 NW62 4282 W49 184914 E 02/22-19 46 0 0 43 36 W18 31 2 1 NW64 3694 W47 153941 E 02/22-20 49 0 0 41 39 W20 33 2 1 NW67 3107 W46 122968 V 02/22-21 49 0 0 40 42 W18 31 2 1 NW70 3044 W47 123851 V 02/22-22 49 0 0 39 43 W16 28 3 1 NW75 2981 W48 124735 V 02/22-23 52 10 2 39 45 W16 28 3 1 W78 2918 W49 125618 V 02/23-00 52 10 2 38 46 W20 35 3 1 W81 2551 W52 113987 V 02/23-01 52 10 2 36 47 W25 41 4 1 W83 2183 W55 102356 V 02/23-02 61 15 3 35 49 W28 44 4 1 W85 1815 W58 90725 G 02/23-03 61 15 3 34 51 W25 44 3 1 W92 1623 W51 73573 G 02/23-04 61 15 3 32 55 W21 41 3 1 W98 1431 W44 56422 F 02/23-05 98 61 39 27 68 W16 24 2 1 W100 1239 W37 39270 P 02/23-06 98 61 39 26 68 NW12 16 2 1 W90 2632 W35 74441 G 02/23-07 98 61 39 27 65 N 7 7 2 1 W82 4025 NW32 109612 V 02/23-08 98 52 28 27 61 N 6 6 2 1 W74 5418 NW31 144784 V 02/23-09 96 52 28 28 57 N 9 9 2 1 W68 6458 NW33 195262 E 02/23-10 96 52 28 28 53 NW14 21 2 1 W62 7498 NW37 245740 E 02/23-11 69 25 5 29 49 W18 28 2 1 W58 8538 NW40 296219 E 02/23-12 69 25 5 29 46 NW18 29 2 1 W54 8930 NW38 294232 E 02/23-13 69 25 5 29 43 NW17 26 2 1 NW51 9321 NW36 292245 E 02/23-14 55 25 5 28 43 NW16 24 2 1 NW46 9712 NW35 290258 E 02/23-15 55 25 5 27 42 NW15 23 2 1 NW41 9392 NW31 259803 E 02/23-16 55 25 5 26 43 NW15 22 2 1 NW36 9072 NW29 229348 E 02/23-17 47 7 1 23 45 NW14 21 2 1 NW32 8752 NW26 198893 E 02/23-18 47 7 1 21 49 NW13 18 2 1 NW31 7633 NW24 163045 E 02/23-19 47 7 1 20 53 W12 17 2 1 NW32 6515 NW22 127197 V 02/23-20 30 7 1 19 56 W10 16 2 1 NW32 5396 NW20 91349 G 02/23-21 30 7 1 18 59 W 9 15 2 1 NW31 5080 NW18 83574 G 02/23-22 30 7 1 18 61 W 9 14 2 1 NW29 4763 NW18 75799 G 02/23-23 22 0 0 17 64 W 9 14 2 1 NW29 4447 NW17 68024 G 02/24-00 22 0 0 17 62 W 9 14 2 1 NW31 3778 NW17 57828 F 02/24-01 22 0 0 16 61 W10 15 2 1 NW36 3109 W17 47633 F 02/24-02 22 0 0 15 61 W10 16 2 1 NW40 2440 W17 37438 P 02/24-03 22 0 0 14 63 W10 15 2 1 NW46 2184 W21 37519 P 02/24-04 22 0 0 13 62 SW 9 15 3 1 NW52 1929 W23 37600 P 02/24-05 13 0 0 13 61 SW 9 14 3 1 NW56 1674 W26 37681 P 02/24-06 13 0 0 12 61 SW 9 9 3 1 NW60 1729 W24 35587 P 02/24-07 13 0 0 14 56 SW 8 8 3 1 NW61 1784 W22 33492 P 02/24-08 13 0 0 19 45 S 8 8 3 1 NW60 1838 W20 31398 P 02/24-09 13 0 0 25 35 S 7 7 3 1 NW55 2666 W20 45080 F 02/24-10 13 0 0 31 28 S 7 7 3 1 NW49 3495 NW20 58763 F 02/24-11 13 0 0 33 26 S 6 6 3 1 NW45 4323 NW20 72445 G 02/24-12 13 0 0 35 25 S 5 5 3 1 NW45 4544 NW20 75192 G 02/24-13 13 0 0 36 25 S 5 5 2 1 NW47 4766 W18 77939 G 02/24-14 13 0 0 35 27 S 3 3 2 1 NW48 4987 W18 80686 G 02/24-15 13 0 0 34 28 SW 2 2 2 1 NW48 4250 W16 63178 G 02/24-16 13 0 0 32 31 CALM 1 2 1 NW48 3513 W14 45670 F 02/24-17 14 0 0 30 35 CALM 1 2 1 NW47 2776 W12 28163 P 02/24-18 14 0 0 29 40 SW 2 2 2 1 NW45 2107 W12 21303 P 02/24-19 14 0 0 27 45 SW 3 3 2 1 NW44 1438 W12 14442 P 02/24-20 14 0 0 26 49 SW 6 6 2 1 NW40 768 W12 7582 P 02/24-21 14 0 0 26 52 SW 8 8 2 1 NW36 636 W13 6739 P 02/24-22 14 0 0 25 56 W10 15 2 1 NW32 504 W14 5896 P 02/24-23 14 0 0 24 59 W12 17 2 1 NW29 372 W16 5053 P 02/25-00 14 0 0 24 58 W13 18 2 1 W29 318 W16 4360 P 02/25-01 14 0 0 24 57 W13 18 2 1 W31 263 W16 3666 P 02/25-02 14 0 0 23 58 W13 20 2 1 W33 208 W16 2972 P 02/25-03 14 0 0 21 59 W13 20 2 1 W36 194 W16 2775 P 02/25-04 14 0 0 21 59 W13 20 3 1 W37 179 W16 2578 P 02/25-05 20 2 0 20 58 W13 20 3 1 W38 164 W17 2381 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JASON CHAPPELL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120222.SHADE.01/BOU