FNUS72 KJAX 220847
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CECIL SCHOOL BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
347 AM EST WED FEB 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1848 EST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE
OF A DISTURBANCE. THE DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH
ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO
                    13 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 200 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO
                    2500-3500 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........51     55     58     60     65     73
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS                       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............47     52     63     71     75     75
RH..............100    88     69     58     55     56
20 FT WIND......SW 1   SW 3   SW 6   SW 9   SW 12  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     15     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW200 600    1900   3200   3500   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6   SW 8   SW 12  SW 15  SW 17  SW 17
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     10     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL EARLY...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 32
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....96.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120222.CECIL.01/JAX