FNUS74 KMEG 221445 FWSMEG SPOT FORECAST FOR WITCHDANCE PICNIC AREA...NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 845 AM CST WED FEB 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON... ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM KANSAS...AND INFLOW OF A MODIFIED GULF AIR. WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN MARGINAL...DUE TO THE SCATTERED NATURE OF THE PRECIPITATION. SEA LEVEL PRESSURE WILL TREND SLIGHTLY LOWER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ABUNDANT GROUND MOISTURE WILL CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER...SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 5 MPH...SO THE MORE LIKELY SCENARIO IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW CLOUDS WITH PATCHY FOG IN IN SHELTERED AREAS. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..30 30 30 30 PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMPERATURE.....55 65 71 69 DEWPOINT........48 50 50 50 RH (%)..........77 57 48 51 20FT WIND MPH...SW 10 SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 20FT WIND GUST..14 16 16 16 MIXHGT M AGL....557 1064 1421 1106 MIXHGT FT AGL...1830 3494 4665 3631 MIXHGT M MSL....688 1189 1546 1231 MIXHGT FT MSL...2260 3904 5075 4041 TRANS WND M/S...SW 11 SW 12 SW 13 SW 11 TRANS WND MPH...SW 25 SW 26 SW 28 SW 24 CATEGORY DAY....3 4 5 4 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM CLOUD COVER.....MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..10 10 10 10 10 10 PRECIP TYPE.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE WEATHER COV..... TEMPERATURE.....65 61 58 56 55 54 DEWPOINT........50 50 50 49 49 49 RH (%)..........57 67 75 79 79 83 20FT WIND MPH...SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 20FT WIND GUST..11 9 9 8 7 7 MIXHGT M AGL....313 42 0 65 260 273 MIXHGT FT AGL...1030 141 0 214 854 897 MIXHGT M MSL....438 167 116 190 385 398 MIXHGT FT MSL...1440 551 382 624 1264 1307 TRANS WND M/S...W 9 W 6 W 6 W 7 W 8 SW 7 TRANS WND MPH...W 20 W 14 W 13 W 16 W 18 SW 16 CATEGORY DAY....2 1 1 1 2 1 .THURSDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..10 10 10 20 20 20 PRECIP TYPE.....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMPERATURE.....53 59 66 73 77 76 DEWPOINT........49 52 53 55 55 54 RH (%)..........87 77 65 52 46 47 20FT WIND MPH...S 5 S 7 S 10 S 14 SW 16 SW 15 20FT WIND GUST..7 9 14 19 22 21 MIXHGT M AGL....151 351 503 565 855 745 MIXHGT FT AGL...496 1154 1651 1855 2808 2447 MIXHGT M MSL....276 476 628 690 980 870 MIXHGT FT MSL...906 1564 2061 2265 3218 2857 TRANS WND M/S...SW 4 SW 7 S 9 S 10 SW 14 SW 16 TRANS WND MPH...SW 10 SW 15 S 20 S 23 SW 32 SW 35 CATEGORY DAY....1 2 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SIRMON REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS NEPPL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120222.WITCH.01/MEG